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← Today's Edges
NHL•Fri, Nov 6 • 12:00 AMSilver Edge
CAR

Carolina Hurricanes

12-2

VS
NYI

New York Islanders

7-5

Win Probability

Moneyline

CAR

-171

68.0% win prob

EV +3.9%

Polymarket

Moneyline

NYI

+159

32.0% win prob

EV -8.6%

Kalshi

Analysis

The Carolina Hurricanes travel to face the New York Islanders in a matchup where the simulation clearly favours the visitors. Sebastian Aho projects as a 57% chance to record more than 0.5 points, while Matthew Schaefer sits at 52%, making individual production the decisive lever—the Hurricanes' depth at forward gives them the advantage when scoring chances compress. Across eight historically similar games, AccuScore's favoured side won five times. For New York to pull the upset, it would need to suppress Carolina's secondary scoring; Jackson Blake carries a 53% projection, and if either he or Nikolaj Ehlers reaches that threshold alongside Aho, the visitors' margin likely holds.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Puck Line (-1.5/+1.5)CAR -1.5
81.5-5
CAR Cover
55.0%
no odds at this line
NYI Cover
45.0%
no odds at this line
Total (Over/Under)O/U 6
0.56.7513
Over Cover
42.1%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
45.5%
no odds at this line
Push 12.4% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

Player Props

NYI CAR
Sort:

Odds Comparison

Moneyline

BookNYIEVCAREV
Kalshi ↗+159-8.6%-182+2.7%
Polymarket ↗+148-10.3%-171+3.9%

Where to Bet

silver
CAR ML+3.9% EV

Win probability: 68.0%

Polymarket
-171Bet →
Kalshi
-182Bet →

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NHL

Carolina Hurricanes vs New York Islanders Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Thu, Nov 5, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

AccuScore's simulation makes Carolina Hurricanes 68% to beat New York Islanders (32%).

Projection updated Nov 3, 4:22 PM ET

Who will win Carolina Hurricanes vs New York Islanders?

AccuScore's simulation makes Carolina Hurricanes the more likely winner at 68%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will New York Islanders beat Carolina Hurricanes?

AccuScore's simulation gives New York Islanders a 32% chance of beating Carolina Hurricanes, against 68% for Carolina Hurricanes. New York Islanders are at home but the underdog on these numbers.

Every Carolina Hurricanes vs New York Islanders meeting →Carolina Hurricanes predictions & record →New York Islanders predictions & record →

Season outlook

Carolina Hurricanes (12-2 so far) project to finish 57.6–24.3 and make the playoffs in >99% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

New York Islanders (7-5 so far) project to finish 36.9–45.0 and make the playoffs in 13% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

TeamProjected recordDivision titlePlayoffs
Carolina Hurricanes57.6–24.399%>99%
New York Islanders36.9–45.00%13%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Carolina Hurricanes and New York Islanders come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Carolina HurricanesWWWWL
  • Nov 1vs Winnipeg JetsW 7–0
  • Oct 29vs Columbus Blue JacketsW 3–2
  • Oct 27vs Boston BruinsW 2–1
  • Oct 24at St. Louis BluesW 4–0
  • Oct 22at Edmonton OilersL 5–6

Carolina Hurricanes have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-L, most recent first).

New York IslandersLWWLL
  • Oct 31vs Edmonton OilersL 0–4
  • Oct 29at Minnesota WildW 4–3
  • Oct 27at Nashville PredatorsW 4–3
  • Oct 25at Dallas StarsL 3–6
  • Oct 22vs Los Angeles KingsL 2–3

New York Islanders have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-W-L-L, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 63 times since 2012: Carolina Hurricanes 37, New York Islanders 26. The last meeting, on Apr 14, 2026, finished Carolina Hurricanes 2, New York Islanders 1.

  • Apr 14, 2026CAR 2 – 1 NYI
  • Apr 4, 2026NYI 3 – 4 CAR
  • Oct 30, 2025NYI 2 – 6 CAR
  • Mar 30, 2025NYI 4 – 6 CAR
  • Jan 25, 2025CAR 2 – 3 NYI
Every Carolina Hurricanes vs New York Islanders meeting →

Betting trends

Carolina Hurricanes are 441-275 as favourite and 184-266 as underdog, and 281-315 on the road (47% of 596 games, 2011–2026).

New York Islanders are 309-226 as favourite and 259-340 as underdog, and 315-265 at home (54% of 580 games, 2011–2026).

RecordCARNYI
As favourite441-275309-226
As underdog184-266259-340
At home357-239315-265
On the road281-315266-315

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →