NHL
Philadelphia Flyers
4-8
New York Rangers
7-7
Win Probability
The simulation leans toward the New York Rangers hosting the Philadelphia Flyers, though not emphatically. New York's scoring depth will be tested: Pavel Dorofeyev projects at 49% to record a point, while Alexis Lafreniere sits at 30% for multiple points. Philadelphia's path to victory runs through Travis Konecny and Trevor Zegras, each at 22% to exceed a point. On similar win-probability shapes across eight other matchups, the favoured side won five times. The Flyers would need to convert their limited scoring chances at an above-model rate to pull off the upset.
| Book | NYR | EV | PHI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -175 | +0.5% | +129 | -9.1% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -179 | +0.1% | +155 | -4.5% |
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Rangers 64% to beat Philadelphia Flyers (36%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Rangers the more likely winner at 64%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives New York Rangers a 64% chance of beating Philadelphia Flyers, against 36% for Philadelphia Flyers. New York Rangers are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Philadelphia Flyers (4-8 so far) project to finish 37.1–42.7 and make the playoffs in 22% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
New York Rangers (7-7 so far) project to finish 43.7–39.1 and make the playoffs in 67% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Flyers | 37.1–42.7 | 0% | 22% |
| New York Rangers | 43.7–39.1 | 1% | 67% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Philadelphia Flyers and New York Rangers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Philadelphia Flyers have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
New York Rangers have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 60 times since 2011: Philadelphia Flyers 24, New York Rangers 36. The last meeting, on Mar 9, 2026, finished New York Rangers 6, Philadelphia Flyers 2.
Philadelphia Flyers are 237-182 as favourite and 276-421 as underdog, and 231-333 on the road (41% of 564 games, 2011–2026).
New York Rangers are 407-260 as favourite and 213-276 as underdog, and 333-263 at home (56% of 596 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | PHI | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 237-182 | 407-260 |
| As underdog | 276-421 | 213-276 |
| At home | 290-280 | 333-263 |
| On the road | 231-333 | 301-290 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →