NHL • Fri, Nov 6, 00:00
The simulation favours Pittsburgh Penguins slightly in this matchup between the visiting Boston Bruins and the Penguins at home. Erik Karlsson projects to score at a 61% clip, while David Pastrnak lands at 62%, making offensive firepower from both blue-liners critical to the outcome. The game turns on whether either team can sustain pressure through the full sixty minutes; the projected totals suggest a tight, low-scoring affair where a single goal could swing it.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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Boston Bruins (11-4 so far) project to finish 48.7–34.3 and make the playoffs in 94% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Pittsburgh Penguins (5-7 so far) project to finish 39.1–42.7 and make the playoffs in 29% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Bruins | 48.7–34.3 | 32% | 94% |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 39.1–42.7 | <1% | 29% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Pittsburgh Penguins 54% to beat Boston Bruins (46%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Pittsburgh Penguins the more likely winner at 54%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Pittsburgh Penguins a 54% chance of beating Boston Bruins, against 46% for Boston Bruins. Pittsburgh Penguins are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Boston Bruins and Pittsburgh Penguins come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Boston Bruins have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-W, most recent first).
Pittsburgh Penguins have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 47 times since 2011: Boston Bruins 27, Pittsburgh Penguins 20. The last meeting, on Mar 8, 2026, finished Boston Bruins 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 5.
Boston Bruins are 527-329 as favourite and 144-170 as underdog, and 317-278 on the road (53% of 595 games, 2011–2026).
Pittsburgh Penguins are 461-308 as favourite and 164-219 as underdog, and 365-227 at home (62% of 592 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | BOS | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 527-329 | 461-308 |
| As underdog | 144-170 | 164-219 |
| At home | 360-235 | 365-227 |
| On the road | 317-278 | 278-312 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →