NHL
Dallas Stars
8-5
Columbus Blue Jackets
5-7
Win Probability
Dallas Stars travel to face the Columbus Blue Jackets in a matchup where the simulation leans clearly toward the visitors. Mikko Rantanen projects at 58% to record more than 0.5 points, while Zach Werenski sits at 52%—a marginal edge for Dallas's forward against Columbus's defender. The game turns on whether Dallas's secondary scoring can sustain pressure; Roope Hintz and Kent Johnson both sit below 42%, suggesting depth scoring will be scarce. On similar win-probability shapes across other matchups, the model's lean has proved reliable 5 times in 8 games. Columbus would need to tighten scoring chances and limit Dallas's top-line production to overturn the projection.
| Book | CLS | EV | DAL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +114 | -8.5% | -136 | +3.1% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +121 | -7.1% | -140 | +2.5% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Dallas Stars 61% to beat Columbus Blue Jackets (39%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Dallas Stars the more likely winner at 61%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Columbus Blue Jackets a 39% chance of beating Dallas Stars, against 61% for Dallas Stars. Columbus Blue Jackets are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Dallas Stars (8-5 so far) project to finish 46.1–36.7 and make the playoffs in 86% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Columbus Blue Jackets (5-7 so far) project to finish 36.6–47.2 and make the playoffs in 8% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Stars | 46.1–36.7 | 7% | 86% |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | 36.6–47.2 | 0% | 8% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Dallas Stars and Columbus Blue Jackets come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Dallas Stars have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-L-W-W, most recent first).
Columbus Blue Jackets have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 36 times since 2011: Dallas Stars 17, Columbus Blue Jackets 19. The last meeting, on Oct 31, 2026, finished Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Dallas Stars 3.
Dallas Stars are 424-289 as favourite and 206-255 as underdog, and 303-298 on the road (50% of 601 games, 2011–2026).
Columbus Blue Jackets are 211-137 as favourite and 291-465 as underdog, and 284-273 at home (51% of 557 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | DAL | CLS |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 424-289 | 211-137 |
| As underdog | 206-255 | 291-465 |
| At home | 346-257 | 284-273 |
| On the road | 303-298 | 223-334 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →