Vancouver Canucks
3-12
Winnipeg Jets
4-8
Win Probability
The Vancouver Canucks travel to face the Winnipeg Jets in a matchup the simulation leans toward the home side in a close contest. Mark Scheifele projects as the Jets' most likely contributor with a 61% chance of more than 0.5 points, while Brock Boeser sits at 46% for the Canucks. The game turns on whether Vancouver can generate secondary scoring beyond its top names, as Kyle Connor and Jonathan both sit near 43-48% to register a point. AccuScore's record on similarly shaped home leans stands at 49% over 2,458 graded games. The Canucks would need to suppress Winnipeg's depth scoring to steal this one on the road.
| Book | WIN | EV | VAN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -229 | -11.8% | +174 | +14.1% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -196 | -9.8% | +169 | +12.9% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Winnipeg Jets 53% to beat Vancouver Canucks (47%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Winnipeg Jets the more likely winner at 53%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Winnipeg Jets a 53% chance of beating Vancouver Canucks, against 47% for Vancouver Canucks. Winnipeg Jets are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Vancouver Canucks (3-12 so far) project to finish 34.2–48.6 and make the playoffs in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Winnipeg Jets (4-8 so far) project to finish 38.7–42.1 and make the playoffs in 32% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Canucks | 34.2–48.6 | 0% | 3% |
| Winnipeg Jets | 38.7–42.1 | <1% | 32% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Vancouver Canucks and Winnipeg Jets come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Vancouver Canucks have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-W-L-L, most recent first).
Winnipeg Jets have won 0 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 42 times since 2012: Vancouver Canucks 12, Winnipeg Jets 30. The last meeting, on Mar 7, 2026, finished Vancouver Canucks 2, Winnipeg Jets 3.
Vancouver Canucks are 224-185 as favourite and 284-398 as underdog, and 253-310 on the road (45% of 563 games, 2011–2026).
Winnipeg Jets are 349-229 as favourite and 238-305 as underdog, and 329-246 at home (57% of 575 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | VAN | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 224-185 | 349-229 |
| As underdog | 284-398 | 238-305 |
| At home | 271-291 | 329-246 |
| On the road | 253-310 | 270-303 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →