NHL • Sat, Nov 7, 17:30
The Florida Panthers travel to Washington Capitals in a matchup the simulation sees as virtually even. Matthew Tkachuk projects as the most likely contributor to either side, with a 66% chance of earning at least one point, while Brady Tkachuk lands at 58% and should generate 3.2 shots on goal on average. Washington's Dylan Strome sits at 54% for a point and PierreLuc Dubois at 50%, leaving the Capitals' scoring depth as the deciding factor in a game projected as a low-scoring affair.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Washington Capitals 51% to beat Florida Panthers (49%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Washington Capitals the more likely winner at 51%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Washington Capitals a 51% chance of beating Florida Panthers, against 49% for Florida Panthers. Washington Capitals are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Florida Panthers (9-5 so far) project to finish 42.5–32.2 and make the playoffs in 47% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Washington Capitals (8-6 so far) project to finish 44.8–31.9 and make the playoffs in 59% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Panthers | 42.5–32.2 | 7% | 47% |
| Washington Capitals | 44.8–31.9 | 8% | 59% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Florida Panthers and Washington Capitals come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Florida Panthers have won 4 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
Washington Capitals have won 3 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 48 times since 2011: Florida Panthers 26, Washington Capitals 22. The last meeting, on Jan 17, 2026, finished Florida Panthers 5, Washington Capitals 2.
Florida Panthers are 394-261 as favourite and 218-279 as underdog, and 288-307 on the road (48% of 595 games, 2011–2026).
Washington Capitals are 459-286 as favourite and 196-233 as underdog, and 357-245 at home (59% of 602 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | FLA | WAS |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 394-261 | 459-286 |
| As underdog | 218-279 | 196-233 |
| At home | 341-250 | 357-245 |
| On the road | 288-307 | 314-284 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →