NHL
St. Louis Blues
7-7
Nashville Predators
7-4
Win Probability
This matchup between the St. Louis Blues and Nashville Predators shapes up as a coin-flip, with the simulation favouring the Predators barely. Filip Forsberg projects to record a point in 64% of outcomes and will likely lead the Nashville offence, while Robert Thomas reaches a point in 59% of his appearances here. The game hinges on shot volume: Forsberg averages 3.2 shots while Dylan Holloway sits at 2.6, a gap that could determine possession and scoring chances. AccuScore's model has won 54% of the 10,947 games shaped like this one historically. For St. Louis to pull off the upset, it will need to match Nashville's shot output and keep Ryan O'Reilly off the scoresheet—he projects to record a point in 61% of simulations.
AccuScore's simulation of the first period, priced against the books' 1st-period lines.
Leads after the 1st
| Book | NSH | EV | STL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -112 | -1.4% | -107 | -2.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -105 | +0.1% | -109 | -3.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | 5.5 | -181 | -8.4% | -166 | -12.8% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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AccuScore's simulation makes Nashville Predators 51% to beat St. Louis Blues (49%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Nashville Predators the more likely winner at 51%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Nashville Predators a 51% chance of beating St. Louis Blues, against 49% for St. Louis Blues. Nashville Predators are at home and favoured on these numbers.
St. Louis Blues (7-7 so far) project to finish 42.4–33.2 and make the playoffs in 54% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Nashville Predators (6-4 so far) project to finish 39.3–32.2 and make the playoffs in 45% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Blues | 42.4–33.2 | 4% | 54% |
| Nashville Predators | 39.3–32.2 | 3% | 45% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How St. Louis Blues and Nashville Predators come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
St. Louis Blues have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-L, most recent first).
Nashville Predators have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-W-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 64 times since 2011: St. Louis Blues 29, Nashville Predators 35. The last meeting, on Oct 17, 2026, finished St. Louis Blues 2, Nashville Predators 5.
St. Louis Blues are 385-273 as favourite and 249-263 as underdog, and 305-293 on the road (51% of 598 games, 2011–2026).
Nashville Predators are 370-260 as favourite and 225-294 as underdog, and 341-250 at home (58% of 591 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | STL | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 385-273 | 370-260 |
| As underdog | 249-263 | 225-294 |
| At home | 338-255 | 341-250 |
| On the road | 305-293 | 271-314 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →