New York Rangers
9-7
Seattle Kraken
9-5
Win Probability
This matchup sits on a knife's edge: the simulation barely favors the Seattle Kraken at home, a lean so slight it amounts to a coin flip. Both New York Rangers and Seattle Kraken project to score at a near-identical rate, with the game turning on whether either team can sustain offensive pressure—J.T. Miller carries a 57% chance of registering a point, while Kaapo Kakko sits at 50%. On similar win-probability games across the model's record, the favored side won just 54% of the time, suggesting there's little separating these teams. For the Kraken to pull ahead, they'll need to neutralize New York's most dangerous players and convert the chances that come their way.
AccuScore's simulation of the first period, priced against the books' 1st-period lines.
Leads after the 1st
| Book | SEA | EV | NYR | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +105 | +1.2% | -131 | -5.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +111 | +2.8% | -128 | -5.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | 5.5 | -258 | -10.9% | -102 | -6.8% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Seattle Kraken 50% to beat New York Rangers (50%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Seattle Kraken the more likely winner at 50%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Seattle Kraken a 50% chance of beating New York Rangers, against 50% for New York Rangers. Seattle Kraken are at home and favoured on these numbers.
New York Rangers (8-7 so far) project to finish 41.6–33.9 and make the playoffs in 41% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Seattle Kraken (9-5 so far) project to finish 41.1–34.5 and make the playoffs in 49% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Rangers | 41.6–33.9 | 4% | 41% |
| Seattle Kraken | 41.1–34.5 | 6% | 49% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How New York Rangers and Seattle Kraken come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
New York Rangers have won 2 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-L, most recent first).
Seattle Kraken have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 10 times since 2021: New York Rangers 7, Seattle Kraken 3. The last meeting, on Jan 12, 2026, finished Seattle Kraken 4, New York Rangers 2.
New York Rangers are 409-260 as favourite and 213-276 as underdog, and 301-290 on the road (51% of 591 games, 2011–2026).
Seattle Kraken are 73-56 as favourite and 115-187 as underdog, and 99-119 at home (45% of 218 games, 2021–2026).
| Record | NYR | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 409-260 | 73-56 |
| As underdog | 213-276 | 115-187 |
| At home | 335-263 | 99-119 |
| On the road | 301-290 | 94-127 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →