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NHL

Utah Mammoth vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

← Today's Edges
NHL•Sun, Nov 8 • 12:00 AMSilver Edge
UTA

Utah Mammoth

10-6

VS
OTT

Ottawa Senators

10-6

Win Probability

Moneyline

UTA

-114

49.5% win prob

EV -3.5%

Polymarket

Moneyline

OTT

-101

50.5% win prob

EV +0.2%

Polymarket

Analysis

Utah Mammoth travels to Ottawa to face a Senators side that the simulation barely favours in a coin-flip matchup. Clayton Keller projects to 70% to record at least one point, while Tim Stutzle sits at 65%; both should see meaningful ice time in a game where scoring depth will likely decide it. The simulation pegs this as a high-event contest, with a 53% lean toward the over. On games shaped this tightly, AccuScore's model has won 54% of the time across nearly 11,000 graded matchups. For Utah Mammoth to pull the upset, they would need to limit Ottawa's secondary scoring—Drake Batherson carries a 60% chance to contribute at least one point.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Puck Line (-1.5/+1.5)UTA -1.5
7.50.25-7
UTA Cover
29.7%
no odds at this line
OTT Cover
70.3%
no odds at this line
Total (Over/Under)O/U 6.5
0.57.2514
Over Cover
53.1%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
46.9%
no odds at this line

1st Period

AccuScore's simulation of the first period, priced against the books' 1st-period lines.

Leads after the 1st

34.5%UTA
Tied 30.9%
OTT34.6%
1st Period Puck LinePick'em (tie refunds)
40-4
UTA Cover
34.1%
no odds at this line
OTT Cover
34.1%
no odds at this line
Push 31.8% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the line
1st Period Total (Over/Under)1P O/U 1.5
0.53.256
Over Cover
56.7%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
43.3%
no odds at this line

Player Props

OTT UTA
Sort:

Odds Comparison

Moneyline

BookOTTEVUTAEV
Kalshi ↗-107-1.2%-116-3.9%
Polymarket ↗-101+0.2%-114-3.5%

Betting Splits

Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.

Moneyline
Kalshi41 trades · $349
UTA
68% · 67%
OTT
32% · 33%

Where to Bet

silver
OTT ML+0.2% EV

Win probability: 50.5%

Polymarket
-101Bet →
Kalshi
-107Bet →

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AccuScore's simulation makes Ottawa Senators 51% to beat Utah Mammoth (50%).

Projection updated Nov 6, 10:20 AM ET

Who will win Utah Mammoth vs Ottawa Senators?

AccuScore's simulation makes Ottawa Senators the more likely winner at 51%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Ottawa Senators beat Utah Mammoth?

AccuScore's simulation gives Ottawa Senators a 51% chance of beating Utah Mammoth, against 50% for Utah Mammoth. Ottawa Senators are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Every Utah Mammoth vs Ottawa Senators meeting →Utah Mammoth predictions & record →Ottawa Senators predictions & record →

Season outlook

Utah Mammoth (10-6 so far) project to finish 45.8–31.3 and make the playoffs in 72% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Ottawa Senators (10-6 so far) project to finish 44.8–31.0 and make the playoffs in 59% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

TeamProjected recordDivision titlePlayoffs
Utah Mammoth45.8–31.39%72%
Ottawa Senators44.8–31.011%59%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Utah Mammoth and Ottawa Senators come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Utah MammothLWLWL
  • Nov 5at Montreal CanadiensL 4–5
  • Nov 3at Toronto Maple LeafsW 3–2
  • Nov 1at Philadelphia FlyersL 3–6
  • Oct 29at Pittsburgh PenguinsW 4–3
  • Oct 27vs Minnesota WildL 1–3

Utah Mammoth have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-L, most recent first).

Ottawa SenatorsWLWLL
  • Nov 4at Buffalo SabresW 2–1
  • Nov 1at Anaheim DucksL 3–6
  • Oct 31at San Jose SharksW 5–1
  • Oct 29at Los Angeles KingsL 5–6
  • Oct 27at Vegas Golden KnightsL 1–4

Ottawa Senators have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-L, most recent first).

Betting trends

Ottawa Senators are 205-152 as favourite and 311-451 as underdog, and 291-273 at home (52% of 564 games, 2011–2026).

RecordUTAOTT
As favourite—205-152
As underdog—311-451
At home—291-273
On the road—229-337

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →