NHL
Chicago Blackhawks
4-12
Carolina Hurricanes
13-3
Win Probability
The Chicago Blackhawks visit the Carolina Hurricanes in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. Carolina's Sebastian Aho projects a 69% chance of recording at least one point, while teammate Nikolaj Ehlers sits at 65%, giving the Hurricanes multiple scoring threats. For Chicago, Connor Bedard carries a 55% chance to record a point on 2.6 shots on goal. The game hinges on whether the Blackhawks can generate enough offensive pressure to stay competitive; in games shaped like this one, the favored side won 71% of the time. An upset would require Chicago's depth scoring to break through and the Hurricanes to fall below their projected output.
AccuScore's simulation of the first period, priced against the books' 1st-period lines.
Leads after the 1st
| Book | CAR | EV | CHI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -430 | -2.4% | +373 | +3.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -396 | -1.7% | +338 | -0.1% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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AccuScore's simulation makes Carolina Hurricanes 77% to beat Chicago Blackhawks (23%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Carolina Hurricanes the more likely winner at 77%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Carolina Hurricanes a 77% chance of beating Chicago Blackhawks, against 23% for Chicago Blackhawks. Carolina Hurricanes are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Chicago Blackhawks (4-11 so far) project to finish 30.6–44.7 and make the playoffs in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Carolina Hurricanes (12-3 so far) project to finish 53.2–22.4 and make the playoffs in 97% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Blackhawks | 30.6–44.7 | <1% | 3% |
| Carolina Hurricanes | 53.2–22.4 | 70% | 97% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Chicago Blackhawks and Carolina Hurricanes come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Chicago Blackhawks have won 0 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first).
Carolina Hurricanes have won 4 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 32 times since 2011: Chicago Blackhawks 8, Carolina Hurricanes 24. The last meeting, on Oct 10, 2026, finished Carolina Hurricanes 5, Chicago Blackhawks 2.
Chicago Blackhawks are 253-191 as favourite and 243-434 as underdog, and 233-337 on the road (41% of 570 games, 2011–2026).
Carolina Hurricanes are 442-276 as favourite and 184-266 as underdog, and 357-239 at home (60% of 596 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | CHI | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 253-191 | 442-276 |
| As underdog | 243-434 | 184-266 |
| At home | 272-294 | 357-239 |
| On the road | 233-337 | 282-316 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →