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← Today's Edges
NHL•Sun, Nov 8 • 2:00 AM
DET

Detroit Red Wings

7-7

VS
COL

Colorado Avalanche

9-6

Win Probability

Moneyline

DET

+177

34.9% win prob

EV -1.7%

Polymarket

Moneyline

COL

-204

65.1% win prob

EV -1.5%

Polymarket

Analysis

The Detroit Red Wings visit the Colorado Avalanche in a matchup where the simulation clearly favors the home side. Nathan MacKinnon projects to contribute a point in 74% of outcomes, while Martin Necas reaches that mark in 67%, giving Colorado multiple scoring threats. Detroit's Lucas Raymond and Alex DeBrincat each carry around a 58-59% chance of recording a point, but the gap in offensive firepower matters here. When AccuScore's model has leaned this decisively toward the home team in similar games, that side won 61% of 5,653 graded contests. For Detroit to pull the upset, their depth scoring would need to offset Colorado's advantage at the top of the lineup.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Puck Line (-1.5/+1.5)DET -1.5
6.5-0.75-8
DET Cover
18.9%
no odds at this line
COL Cover
81.1%
no odds at this line
Total (Over/Under)O/U 6.5
0.57.2514
Over Cover
49.5%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
50.5%
no odds at this line

1st Period

AccuScore's simulation of the first period, priced against the books' 1st-period lines.

Leads after the 1st

25.9%DET
Tied 31.1%
COL42.9%
1st Period Puck LineCOL -0.5
3-0.5-4
DET Cover
57.1%
no odds at this line
COL Cover
42.9%
no odds at this line
1st Period Total (Over/Under)1P O/U 1.5
0.53.256
Over Cover
56.0%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
44.0%
no odds at this line

Player Props

COL DET
Sort:

Odds Comparison

Moneyline

BookCOLEVDETEV
Kalshi ↗-218-2.5%+174-2.2%
Polymarket ↗-204-1.5%+177-1.7%

Betting Splits

Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.

Moneyline
Kalshi40 trades · $205
DET
43% · 16%
COL
58% · 84%
Money on DET down 1 pts since the first reading

Where to Bet

DraftKingsBet →FanDuelBet →BetMGMBet →KalshiBet →PolymarketBet →

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NHL

Detroit Red Wings vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 9:00 PM ET

AccuScore's simulation makes Colorado Avalanche 65% to beat Detroit Red Wings (35%).

Projection updated Nov 6, 10:20 AM ET

Who will win Detroit Red Wings vs Colorado Avalanche?

AccuScore's simulation makes Colorado Avalanche the more likely winner at 65%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Colorado Avalanche beat Detroit Red Wings?

AccuScore's simulation gives Colorado Avalanche a 65% chance of beating Detroit Red Wings, against 35% for Detroit Red Wings. Colorado Avalanche are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Every Detroit Red Wings vs Colorado Avalanche meeting →Detroit Red Wings predictions & record →Colorado Avalanche predictions & record →

Season outlook

Detroit Red Wings (7-6 so far) project to finish 38.0–35.4 and make the playoffs in 22% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Colorado Avalanche (9-6 so far) project to finish 49.6–26.9 and make the playoffs in 91% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

TeamProjected recordDivision titlePlayoffs
Detroit Red Wings38.0–35.42%22%
Colorado Avalanche49.6–26.928%91%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Detroit Red Wings and Colorado Avalanche come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Detroit Red WingsLLWLW
  • Nov 5vs Vegas Golden KnightsL 1–2
  • Nov 3at Tampa Bay LightningL 2–4
  • Nov 2at Florida PanthersW 5–3
  • Oct 31vs St. Louis BluesL 4–5
  • Oct 29vs Chicago BlackhawksW 4–1

Detroit Red Wings have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-W-L-W, most recent first).

Colorado AvalancheLLWWW
  • Nov 5vs Nashville PredatorsL 2–3
  • Nov 3at Columbus Blue JacketsL 2–7
  • Nov 2at Chicago BlackhawksW 5–2
  • Oct 31vs Calgary FlamesW 5–2
  • Oct 28vs New Jersey DevilsW 5–2

Colorado Avalanche have won 3 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-W, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 29 times since 2011: Detroit Red Wings 10, Colorado Avalanche 19. The last meeting, on Feb 2, 2026, finished Detroit Red Wings 2, Colorado Avalanche 0.

  • Feb 2, 2026DET 2 – 0 COL
  • Jan 31, 2026COL 5 – 0 DET
  • Mar 25, 2025DET 2 – 5 COL
  • Dec 7, 2024COL 2 – 1 DET
  • Mar 6, 2024DET 2 – 7 COL
Every Detroit Red Wings vs Colorado Avalanche meeting →

Betting trends

Detroit Red Wings are 207-171 as favourite and 265-443 as underdog, and 215-337 on the road (39% of 552 games, 2011–2026).

Colorado Avalanche are 444-257 as favourite and 190-272 as underdog, and 348-244 at home (59% of 592 games, 2011–2026).

RecordDETCOL
As favourite207-171444-257
As underdog265-443190-272
At home269-285348-244
On the road215-337295-297

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →