NHL
Vancouver Canucks
3-14
Edmonton Oilers
11-3
Win Probability
The Edmonton Oilers host a Vancouver Canucks team that arrives in significantly weaker form, and the simulation favors the home side decisively. Edmonton's top two weapons project as centerpieces: Connor McDavid carries an 86% chance of recording at least one point and averages 3.6 shots on goal, while Leon Draisaitl projects 82% to contribute a point with 3.5 shots. Vancouver will need production from its own stars to keep pace—Elias Pettersson sits at 56% for a point and 1.6 shots, Brock Boeser at 50% with 1.9 shots. In games where AccuScore's model favored one side this strongly, that side won 71% of the time across 1,331 graded matchups. A Canucks upset would require both Pettersson and Boeser to exceed their scoring projections while Edmonton's depth fails to capitalize on home ice.
AccuScore's simulation of the first period, priced against the books' 1st-period lines.
Leads after the 1st
| Book | EDM | EV | VAN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -322 | -3.7% | +252 | +1.6% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -333 | -4.0% | +286 | +6.5% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
AccuScore's simulation makes Edmonton Oilers 71% to beat Vancouver Canucks (29%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Edmonton Oilers the more likely winner at 71%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Edmonton Oilers a 71% chance of beating Vancouver Canucks, against 29% for Vancouver Canucks. Edmonton Oilers are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Vancouver Canucks (3-13 so far) project to finish 28.0–47.9 and make the playoffs in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Edmonton Oilers (11-2 so far) project to finish 48.3–26.0 and make the playoffs in 92% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Canucks | 28.0–47.9 | <1% | 1% |
| Edmonton Oilers | 48.3–26.0 | 48% | 92% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Vancouver Canucks and Edmonton Oilers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Vancouver Canucks have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
Edmonton Oilers have won 3 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 73 times since 2011: Vancouver Canucks 36, Edmonton Oilers 37. The last meeting, on Oct 1, 2026, finished Edmonton Oilers 9, Vancouver Canucks 7.
Vancouver Canucks are 224-185 as favourite and 284-400 as underdog, and 253-311 on the road (45% of 564 games, 2011–2026).
Edmonton Oilers are 354-259 as favourite and 230-324 as underdog, and 312-278 at home (53% of 590 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | VAN | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 224-185 | 354-259 |
| As underdog | 284-400 | 230-324 |
| At home | 271-292 | 312-278 |
| On the road | 253-311 | 281-318 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →