NHL • Sun, Nov 8, 20:30
The Vegas Golden Knights visit Buffalo Sabres in a matchup the simulation leans toward Vegas, though barely. Jack Eichel carries a 67% chance of recording at least one point for the visitors, while Buffalo's Tage Thompson projects at 61%, suggesting both offences will test their opponents' depth. For Buffalo to pull the upset at home, the Sabres would need to suppress Mitch Marner's impact; the Vegas forward has a 66% chance to contribute a point despite averaging 2.2 shots on goal.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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Vegas Golden Knights (11-5 so far) project to finish 47.9–27.3 and make the playoffs in 90% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Buffalo Sabres (7-5 so far) project to finish 42.2–31.6 and make the playoffs in 48% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights | 47.9–27.3 | 42% | 90% |
| Buffalo Sabres | 42.2–31.6 | 6% | 48% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Vegas Golden Knights 52% to beat Buffalo Sabres (48%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Vegas Golden Knights the more likely winner at 52%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Buffalo Sabres a 48% chance of beating Vegas Golden Knights, against 52% for Vegas Golden Knights. Buffalo Sabres are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Vegas Golden Knights and Buffalo Sabres come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Vegas Golden Knights have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-W, most recent first).
Buffalo Sabres have won 4 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 16 times since 2017: Vegas Golden Knights 7, Buffalo Sabres 9. The last meeting, on Mar 17, 2026, finished Buffalo Sabres 2, Vegas Golden Knights 0.
Vegas Golden Knights are 373-230 as favourite and 108-119 as underdog, and 222-198 on the road (53% of 420 games, 2017–2026).
Buffalo Sabres are 152-116 as favourite and 302-504 as underdog, and 250-300 at home (45% of 550 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | VGK | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 373-230 | 152-116 |
| As underdog | 108-119 | 302-504 |
| At home | 267-159 | 250-300 |
| On the road | 222-198 | 215-334 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →