Lightning vs Jets Prediction (Nov 8): Lightning 56%

NHL • Sun, Nov 8, 23:00

Tampa Bay Lightning10-3

WIN

Winnipeg Jets6-8

Preview

Tampa Bay Lightning visit Winnipeg Jets in a matchup the simulation favors slightly toward the visitors. For Winnipeg to pull the upset at home, it would need to tilt the scoring advantage decisively toward Connor and Scheifele while containing Tampa Bay's secondary threats.

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Season outlook

Tampa Bay Lightning (10-3 so far) project to finish 48.3–26.6 and make the playoffs in 82% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Winnipeg Jets (6-8 so far) project to finish 36.6–37.0 and make the playoffs in 20% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Team	Projected record	Division title	Playoffs
Tampa Bay Lightning	48.3–26.6	30%	82%
Winnipeg Jets	36.6–37.0	1%	20%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →

AccuScore's simulation makes Tampa Bay Lightning 56% to beat Winnipeg Jets (44%).

Projection updated Nov 7, 9:50 AM ET

Who will win Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets?

AccuScore's simulation makes Tampa Bay Lightning the more likely winner at 56%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Winnipeg Jets beat Tampa Bay Lightning?

AccuScore's simulation gives Winnipeg Jets a 44% chance of beating Tampa Bay Lightning, against 56% for Tampa Bay Lightning. Winnipeg Jets are at home but the underdog on these numbers.

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Tampa Bay Lightning and Winnipeg Jets come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Tampa Bay LightningWWLWL

Nov 5vs Chicago BlackhawksW 4–1
Nov 3vs Detroit Red WingsW 4–2
Oct 31at Nashville PredatorsL 4–5
Oct 29vs Winnipeg JetsW 6–4
Oct 24at Utah MammothL 4–5

Tampa Bay Lightning have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-W-L, most recent first).

Winnipeg JetsWWLLL

Nov 5vs Vancouver CanucksW 6–2
Nov 3at Montreal CanadiensW 5–4
Nov 1at Carolina HurricanesL 0–7
Oct 30at Florida PanthersL 2–5
Oct 29at Tampa Bay LightningL 4–6

Winnipeg Jets have won 2 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-L, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 32 times since 2011: Tampa Bay Lightning 15, Winnipeg Jets 17. The last meeting, on Oct 29, 2026, finished Winnipeg Jets 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 6.

Oct 29, 2026WIN 4 – 6 TB
Mar 5, 2026TB 1 – 4 WIN
Jan 29, 2026WIN 1 – 4 TB
Nov 14, 2024WIN 1 – 4 TB
Nov 3, 2024TB 4 – 7 WIN

Every Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets meeting →

Betting trends

Tampa Bay Lightning are 577-346 as favourite and 134-163 as underdog, and 317-300 on the road (51% of 617 games, 2011–2026).

Winnipeg Jets are 350-229 as favourite and 239-305 as underdog, and 330-246 at home (57% of 576 games, 2011–2026).

Record	TB	WIN
As favourite	577-346	350-229
As underdog	134-163	239-305
At home	409-216	330-246
On the road	317-300	271-303

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →