Florida Panthers
9-5
Boston Bruins
12-4
Win Probability
The Boston Bruins host the Florida Panthers in a matchup the simulation favors slightly to the home side. David Pastrnak leads Boston's attack with a 73% chance of recording at least one point, while Matthew Tkachuk projects at 67% for Florida. The game hinges on shot volume: Pastrnak is expected to average 3.4 shots on goal against a visiting Panthers team where Brady Tkachuk should generate 3.6. AccuScore's record on similar games shaped this way shows 44% overs across 68 graded contests. For the Panthers to pull the upset, they would need their top scorers to convert at above their projected rates while containing Boston's shot generation.
AccuScore's simulation of the first period, priced against the books' 1st-period lines.
Leads after the 1st
| Book | BOS | EV | FLA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -143 | -3.6% | +114 | -1.4% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -134 | -2.3% | +111 | -2.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | 6.5 | -215 | -14.0% | -271 | -15.2% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Boston Bruins 55% to beat Florida Panthers (45%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Boston Bruins the more likely winner at 55%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Boston Bruins a 55% chance of beating Florida Panthers, against 45% for Florida Panthers. Boston Bruins are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Florida Panthers (9-5 so far) project to finish 42.5–32.2 and make the playoffs in 46% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Boston Bruins (12-4 so far) project to finish 48.4–27.6 and make the playoffs in 80% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Panthers | 42.5–32.2 | 6% | 46% |
| Boston Bruins | 48.4–27.6 | 26% | 80% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Florida Panthers and Boston Bruins come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Florida Panthers have won 4 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
Boston Bruins have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-W-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 60 times since 2011: Florida Panthers 27, Boston Bruins 33. The last meeting, on Apr 2, 2026, finished Boston Bruins 1, Florida Panthers 2.
Florida Panthers are 394-261 as favourite and 218-279 as underdog, and 288-307 on the road (48% of 595 games, 2011–2026).
Boston Bruins are 528-329 as favourite and 144-170 as underdog, and 360-235 at home (61% of 595 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | FLA | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 394-261 | 528-329 |
| As underdog | 218-279 | 144-170 |
| At home | 341-250 | 360-235 |
| On the road | 288-307 | 318-278 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →