Charlotte
Chicago Fire
Win Probability
Moneyline
CLT
+390
20.1% win prob
EV -0.8%
FanDuel
Draw
Draw
+390
25% prob
EV +11.5%
FanDuel
Moneyline
CHI
-179
54.8% win prob
EV -7.3%
Fanatics
Charlotte travels to Chicago Fire in a matchup where the simulation leans clearly toward the hosts. The Fire's projected attack should prove decisive: AccuScore expects them to score around 2.0 goals, with the most likely outcome a 2–1 Chicago victory. Charlotte's path to an upset runs through keeping the game tight—the simulation gives a combined score over 39% of the time, suggesting that a low-scoring result would be Charlotte's best chance. On games shaped this way, the favoured side won 52% of the time historically. For Charlotte to pull off the upset, they would need to tighten their defence and convert limited chances into goals.
| Book | CLT | EV | Draw | EV | CHI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | +390 | -0.8% | +390 | +11.5% | -196 | -8.6% |
| Fanatics ↗ | +350 | -4.8% | +350 | +6.5% | -179 | -7.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 4 | +118 | -17.4% | -143 | +10.3% |
| Betano ↗ | 4 | +115 | -17.7% | -133 | +11.9% |
| bet365 ↗ | 3.5 | -137 | -15.8% | +100 | +10.5% |
| William Hill ↗ | 2.5 | -345 | -10.1% | +240 | +14.9% |
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MLS
AccuScore's simulation makes Chicago Fire 55% to win, Charlotte 20%, with a 25% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Chicago Fire the more likely winner at 55%, with a 25% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Chicago Fire a 55% chance of beating Charlotte, with 20% for Charlotte and 25% for a draw. Chicago Fire are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Charlotte and Chicago Fire come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Charlotte have won 2 of their last 5, drawing 2 (D-W-W-L-D, most recent first).
Chicago Fire have won 2 of their last 5, drawing 1 (L-W-D-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 8 times since 2023: Charlotte 4, Chicago Fire 4. The last meeting, on Sep 26, 2026, finished Chicago Fire 1, Charlotte 0.