Columbus Crew
Inter Miami
Win Probability
Moneyline
CLB
-141
24.6% win prob
EV -29.0%
Fanatics
Draw
Draw
+340
23% prob
EV -0.5%
FanDuel
Moneyline
MIA
+290
52.9% win prob
EV +53.2%
FanDuel
Inter Miami hosts Columbus Crew in a matchup where the simulation clearly favors the home side. The projected output hinges on whether Columbus can replicate their attacking form; AccuScore's model has run 50,000 simulations and expects a relatively high-scoring affair. On games shaped this way, the favored side has won 52% of the time historically. For Columbus Crew to pull off an upset on the road, their defense would need to neutralize Inter Miami's attacking pressure while generating consistent chances themselves—but the model sees that as the less likely path.
| Book | CLB | EV | Draw | EV | MIA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -145 | -29.2% | +340 | -0.5% | +290 | +53.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -141 | -29.0% | +330 | -1.6% | +280 | +50.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 3.5 | -119 | -3.3% | +101 | -0.5% |
| Betfair ↗ | 2.5 | -345 | -3.8% | +230 | -3.2% |
| Betano ↗ | 3.5 | -154 | -8.1% | +132 | +7.1% |
| bet365 ↗ | 3.5 | -149 | -7.6% | +110 | +1.7% |
| William Hill ↗ | 2.5 | -345 | -3.8% | +240 | -1.8% |
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MLS
AccuScore's simulation makes Inter Miami 53% to win, Columbus Crew 25%, with a 23% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Inter Miami the more likely winner at 53%, with a 23% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Inter Miami a 53% chance of beating Columbus Crew, with 25% for Columbus Crew and 23% for a draw. Inter Miami are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Columbus Crew and Inter Miami come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Columbus Crew have won 5 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-W, most recent first).
Inter Miami have won 2 of their last 5, drawing 2 (D-W-D-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 10 times since 2021: Columbus Crew 2, Inter Miami 6, 2 drawn. The last meeting, on Sep 27, 2026, finished Inter Miami 1, Columbus Crew 2.