MLS • Wed, Nov 25, 03:00
San Jose Earthquakes host Houston Dynamo in a tightly matched contest that the simulation favors slightly toward the hosts. For Houston to pull off the upset on the road, the Dynamo would need to convert their limited chances into goals while keeping San Jose's attack off the board. The most likely outcome remains a draw, but the simulation gives the Earthquakes a meaningful lean to emerge with a narrow victory.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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MLS
AccuScore's simulation makes SJ Earthquakes 42% to win, Houston Dynamo 33%, with a 24% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes SJ Earthquakes the more likely winner at 42%, with a 24% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives SJ Earthquakes a 42% chance of beating Houston Dynamo, with 33% for Houston Dynamo and 24% for a draw. SJ Earthquakes are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Houston Dynamo and SJ Earthquakes come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Houston Dynamo have won 1 of their last 5, drawing 2 (L-L-W-D-D, most recent first).
SJ Earthquakes have won 1 of their last 5, drawing 2 (L-W-D-L-D, most recent first).
The teams have met 18 times since 2017: Houston Dynamo 9, SJ Earthquakes 5, 4 drawn. The last meeting, on Sep 12, 2026, finished Houston Dynamo 0, SJ Earthquakes 1.