NHL • Tue, Nov 10, 01:00
The New York Rangers travel to Edmonton to face the Oilers, where the simulation leans clearly toward the home side. Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl project to drive much of that advantage: McDavid has an 81% chance of at least one point, while Draisaitl sits at 79%, and both figure to generate volume, with McDavid averaging 3.3 shots on goal and Draisaitl 3.5. For New York to pull the upset, it would need to weather Edmonton's offensive volume and convert at an efficient rate.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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New York Rangers (10-7 so far) project to finish 42.7–33.1 and make the playoffs in 46% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Edmonton Oilers (12-3 so far) project to finish 47.5–27.0 and make the playoffs in 91% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Rangers | 42.7–33.1 | 4% | 46% |
| Edmonton Oilers | 47.5–27.0 | 42% | 91% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Edmonton Oilers 58% to beat New York Rangers (42%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Edmonton Oilers the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Edmonton Oilers a 58% chance of beating New York Rangers, against 42% for New York Rangers. Edmonton Oilers are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How New York Rangers and Edmonton Oilers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
New York Rangers have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-W-L-L, most recent first).
Edmonton Oilers have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 24 times since 2011: New York Rangers 10, Edmonton Oilers 14. The last meeting, on Nov 1, 2026, finished Edmonton Oilers 4, New York Rangers 1.
New York Rangers are 410-260 as favourite and 213-276 as underdog, and 302-290 on the road (51% of 592 games, 2011–2026).
Edmonton Oilers are 355-259 as favourite and 230-324 as underdog, and 313-278 at home (53% of 591 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | NYR | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 410-260 | 355-259 |
| As underdog | 213-276 | 230-324 |
| At home | 335-263 | 313-278 |
| On the road | 302-290 | 281-318 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →