Philadelphia Flyers
4-10-5
Vancouver Canucks
3-15-1
Win Probability
Philadelphia Flyers travel to Vancouver Canucks in a matchup where the simulation leans toward the visitors. Trevor Zegras and Travis Konecny each carry a 55-56% chance of recording at least one point, while Vancouver counters with Elias Pettersson at 62% and Brock Boeser at 53%. The game turns on whether Vancouver's depth can generate offense; both teams project near 3 goals, but the Flyers have the slight advantage despite playing on the road. In similar spots, AccuScore's favored side won 54% of the time across nearly 11,000 graded games. For the Canucks to pull the upset, Pettersson and Boeser would need to convert their scoring chances at better rates than the model expects.
AccuScore's simulation of the first period, priced against the books' 1st-period lines.
Leads after the 1st
1P PHI ML
PHI -127
-1.3% EV
36.3% leads · push 32.5%
Caesars ↗
1P VAN ML
VAN +107
-1.4% EV
31.2% leads · push 32.5%
Caesars ↗
1P 3-way PHI
PHI +170
-1.0% EV
36.3% leads
FanDuel ↗
1P 3-way tie
Tie +195
-2.1% EV
32.5% tied
betPARX ↗
1P 3-way VAN
VAN +210
-1.6% EV
31.2% leads
FanDuel ↗
2-way moneyline: a tied 1st period returns the stake, so the tie is priced as a push.
1P Spread
PHI -0.5 +168
-1.4% EV
36.3% covers
FanDuel ↗
1P Spread
VAN +0.5 -200
-2.2% EV
63.7% covers
DraftKings ↗
1P Total
O 1.5 -130
-2.7% EV
53.5% over
theScore Bet ↗
1P Total
U 1.5 +114
-0.2% EV
46.5% under
DraftKings ↗
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | Line | VAN | EV | PHI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +1.5 | -218 | -2.2% | +180 | -1.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +1.5 | -220 | -2.3% | +176 | -2.5% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +1.5 | -210 | -1.6% | +170 | -3.6% |
| Caesars ↗ | +1.5 | -220 | -2.3% | +180 | -1.8% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | +1.5 | -215 | -1.9% | +170 | -3.6% |
| Book | VAN | EV | PHI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +114 | -2.3% | -135 | -1.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +114 | -2.3% | -137 | -2.1% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +115 | -2.1% | -140 | -2.5% |
| Caesars ↗ | +118 | -1.4% | -138 | -2.2% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | +115 | -2.1% | -135 | -1.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 6.5 | +110 | -0.9% | -130 | -2.9% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 6 | -122 | -2.0% | +100 | -2.2% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 6.5 | +100 | -3.2% | -120 | -1.2% |
| Caesars ↗ | 6 | -121 | -1.9% | -103 | -2.8% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 6.5 | +110 | -0.9% | -130 | -2.9% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Philadelphia Flyers 55% to beat Vancouver Canucks (45%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Philadelphia Flyers the more likely winner at 55%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Vancouver Canucks a 45% chance of beating Philadelphia Flyers, against 55% for Philadelphia Flyers. Vancouver Canucks are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Philadelphia Flyers (4-10 so far) project to finish 34.9–37.5 and make the playoffs in 12% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Vancouver Canucks (3-15 so far) project to finish 27.0–49.1 and make the playoffs in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Flyers | 34.9–37.5 | <1% | 12% |
| Vancouver Canucks | 27.0–49.1 | <1% | 1% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Philadelphia Flyers and Vancouver Canucks come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Philadelphia Flyers have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-W-L-L, most recent first).
Vancouver Canucks have won 0 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 23 times since 2011: Philadelphia Flyers 14, Vancouver Canucks 9. The last meeting, on Dec 30, 2025, finished Philadelphia Flyers 6, Vancouver Canucks 3.
Philadelphia Flyers are 237-182 as favourite and 276-423 as underdog, and 231-334 on the road (41% of 565 games, 2011–2026).
Vancouver Canucks are 224-185 as favourite and 284-401 as underdog, and 271-292 at home (48% of 563 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | PHI | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 237-182 | 224-185 |
| As underdog | 276-423 | 284-401 |
| At home | 290-281 | 271-292 |
| On the road | 231-334 | 253-312 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →