NHL
Detroit Red Wings
7-8-3
St. Louis Blues
7-8-2
Win Probability
The St. Louis Blues host the Detroit Red Wings in a matchup where the simulation leans slightly toward the home side. Detroit's Lucas Raymond has a 60% chance of recording at least one point, while St. Louis' Robert Thomas carries a matching projection; the Blues' Dylan Holloway sits just behind at 57%. The game turns on whether either offence can sustain pressure — AccuScore's model projects a low-scoring outcome, and on similar games with this win-probability shape backing the under, the record stands at 43% over 76 instances. For Detroit to pull the upset, the Red Wings would need Alex DeBrincat to capitalize on his projected 3.7 shots and one of their scoring threats to break through.
AccuScore's simulation of the first period, priced against the books' 1st-period lines.
Leads after the 1st
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | STL | EV | DET | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -143 | -2.6% | +118 | -1.8% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -140 | -2.2% | +121 | -1.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | 5.5 | -129 | -3.7% | -120 | -6.2% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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AccuScore's simulation makes St. Louis Blues 56% to beat Detroit Red Wings (44%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes St. Louis Blues the more likely winner at 56%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives St. Louis Blues a 56% chance of beating Detroit Red Wings, against 44% for Detroit Red Wings. St. Louis Blues are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Detroit Red Wings (7-8 so far) project to finish 36.6–37.0 and make the playoffs in 14% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
St. Louis Blues (7-8 so far) project to finish 41.2–33.6 and make the playoffs in 47% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Red Wings | 36.6–37.0 | 1% | 14% |
| St. Louis Blues | 41.2–33.6 | 3% | 47% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Detroit Red Wings and St. Louis Blues come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Detroit Red Wings have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-W-L, most recent first).
St. Louis Blues have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 33 times since 2011: Detroit Red Wings 17, St. Louis Blues 16. The last meeting, on Oct 31, 2026, finished St. Louis Blues 5, Detroit Red Wings 4.
Detroit Red Wings are 207-171 as favourite and 265-444 as underdog, and 215-338 on the road (39% of 553 games, 2011–2026).
St. Louis Blues are 385-274 as favourite and 249-263 as underdog, and 338-255 at home (57% of 593 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | DET | STL |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 207-171 | 385-274 |
| As underdog | 265-444 | 249-263 |
| At home | 269-285 | 338-255 |
| On the road | 215-338 | 305-294 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →