New York Rangers
10-7-1
Calgary Flames
8-9-1
Win Probability
The New York Rangers travel to face the Calgary Flames in a matchup where the simulation leans toward the visiting Rangers. Mika Zibanejad projects a 59% chance of recording at least one point, while J.T. Miller sits at 58%, giving New York multiple scoring threats. For Calgary, Matt Coronato (54%) and Matvei Gridin (52%) represent the Flames' primary offensive opportunities. On games shaped this way, AccuScore's favoured side has won 54% of the time historically. The game hinges on whether Calgary's depth can generate enough offensive pressure; the simulation projects a relatively low-scoring affair, so an under outcome would require the Flames to keep pace while preventing the Rangers' forward group from exploiting chances.
AccuScore's simulation of the first period, priced against the books' 1st-period lines.
Leads after the 1st
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | CAL | EV | NYR | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +124 | -0.3% | -155 | -4.3% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +131 | +1.3% | -151 | -3.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | 6.5 | +102 | -5.2% | -141 | -2.5% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Rangers 56% to beat Calgary Flames (44%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Rangers the more likely winner at 56%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Calgary Flames a 44% chance of beating New York Rangers, against 56% for New York Rangers. Calgary Flames are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
New York Rangers (10-7 so far) project to finish 42.7–33.1 and make the playoffs in 47% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Calgary Flames (8-9 so far) project to finish 35.9–39.6 and make the playoffs in 17% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Rangers | 42.7–33.1 | 4% | 47% |
| Calgary Flames | 35.9–39.6 | 1% | 17% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How New York Rangers and Calgary Flames come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
New York Rangers have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-L, most recent first).
Calgary Flames have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-W-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 22 times since 2011: New York Rangers 12, Calgary Flames 10. The last meeting, on Mar 10, 2026, finished Calgary Flames 0, New York Rangers 4.
New York Rangers are 410-260 as favourite and 213-276 as underdog, and 302-290 on the road (51% of 592 games, 2011–2026).
Calgary Flames are 303-230 as favourite and 235-339 as underdog, and 304-262 at home (54% of 566 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | NYR | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 410-260 | 303-230 |
| As underdog | 213-276 | 235-339 |
| At home | 335-263 | 304-262 |
| On the road | 302-290 | 244-318 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →