Philadelphia Flyers
4-10-5
Edmonton Oilers
12-3-3
Win Probability
The Edmonton Oilers host a Philadelphia Flyers team that has struggled early in the season, and AccuScore's simulation clearly favors the home side. Connor McDavid projects to record a point in 81% of outcomes while Leon Draisaitl reaches that mark in 77%, giving Edmonton multiple scoring threats the Flyers will struggle to contain. For Philadelphia, Trevor Zegras and Travis Konecny each carry a roughly 50% chance of registering a point, leaving the visitors dependent on depth scoring. The game turns on whether Edmonton's elite forwards can convert their volume into goals; in games shaped this way, AccuScore's favored side won 61% of the time across 5,656 graded contests. Philadelphia would need to limit high-danger chances and steal a goaltending performance to pull off the upset.
AccuScore's simulation of the first period, priced against the books' 1st-period lines.
Leads after the 1st
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | EDM | EV | PHI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -208 | -3.3% | +174 | +0.6% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -196 | -2.4% | +169 | -0.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | 6.5 | +106 | -1.4% | -141 | -4.9% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Edmonton Oilers 63% to beat Philadelphia Flyers (37%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Edmonton Oilers the more likely winner at 63%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Edmonton Oilers a 63% chance of beating Philadelphia Flyers, against 37% for Philadelphia Flyers. Edmonton Oilers are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Philadelphia Flyers (4-10 so far) project to finish 34.2–37.4 and make the playoffs in 11% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Edmonton Oilers (12-3 so far) project to finish 47.5–27.0 and make the playoffs in 90% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Flyers | 34.2–37.4 | <1% | 11% |
| Edmonton Oilers | 47.5–27.0 | 38% | 90% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Philadelphia Flyers and Edmonton Oilers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Philadelphia Flyers have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-L-W-L, most recent first).
Edmonton Oilers have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 22 times since 2012: Philadelphia Flyers 10, Edmonton Oilers 12. The last meeting, on Jan 3, 2026, finished Philadelphia Flyers 5, Edmonton Oilers 2.
Philadelphia Flyers are 237-182 as favourite and 276-423 as underdog, and 231-334 on the road (41% of 565 games, 2011–2026).
Edmonton Oilers are 355-259 as favourite and 230-324 as underdog, and 313-278 at home (53% of 591 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | PHI | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 237-182 | 355-259 |
| As underdog | 276-423 | 230-324 |
| At home | 290-281 | 313-278 |
| On the road | 231-334 | 281-318 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →