NHL • Thu, Nov 12, 02:30
Utah Mammoth visits Vegas Golden Knights in a matchup the simulation leans slightly toward the host. Clayton Keller projects a 66% chance of at least one point for the Mammoth, while Jack Eichel and Mitch Marner both sit at 69% for Vegas, suggesting offensive firepower on both sides. The game hinges on whether Utah can match Vegas's scoring punch on the road—the simulation calls for near parity in goals but gives the Golden Knights the slight advantage at home.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
Free members get the daily Gold Pick delivered by email.
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
Utah Mammoth (10-7 so far) project to finish 44.4–31.9 and make the playoffs in 64% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Vegas Golden Knights (12-5 so far) project to finish 48.9–26.5 and make the playoffs in 93% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Mammoth | 44.4–31.9 | 6% | 64% |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 48.9–26.5 | 47% | 93% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Vegas Golden Knights 57% to beat Utah Mammoth (43%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Vegas Golden Knights the more likely winner at 57%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Vegas Golden Knights a 57% chance of beating Utah Mammoth, against 43% for Utah Mammoth. Vegas Golden Knights are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Utah Mammoth and Vegas Golden Knights come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Utah Mammoth have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-W-L-W, most recent first).
Vegas Golden Knights have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-W-L-L, most recent first).
Vegas Golden Knights are 373-230 as favourite and 109-119 as underdog, and 267-159 at home (63% of 426 games, 2017–2026).
| Record | UTA | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | — | 373-230 |
| As underdog | — | 109-119 |
| At home | — | 267-159 |
| On the road | — | 223-198 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →