Canadiens vs Bruins Prediction (Nov 12): Bruins 55%

NHL • Fri, Nov 13, 00:00

MON

Montreal Canadiens11-3-3

BOS

Boston Bruins13-4-1

Preview

The Boston Bruins host the Montreal Canadiens in a coin-flip matchup that the model leans slightly toward the home side. David Pastrnak carries a 70% chance of recording at least one point, while Nick Suzuki projects at 64% for Montreal. The game turns on shot volume: if Cole Caufield of the Canadiens can generate his projected 3.3 shots and convert at an above-average rate, Montreal's road chances improve significantly.

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AccuScore's simulation makes Boston Bruins 55% to beat Montreal Canadiens (45%).

Projection updated Nov 11, 2:50 AM ET

Who will win Montreal Canadiens vs Boston Bruins?

AccuScore's simulation makes Boston Bruins the more likely winner at 55%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Boston Bruins beat Montreal Canadiens?

AccuScore's simulation gives Boston Bruins a 55% chance of beating Montreal Canadiens, against 45% for Montreal Canadiens. Boston Bruins are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Season outlook

Montreal Canadiens (11-3 so far) project to finish 46.7–27.4 and make the playoffs in 77% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Boston Bruins (13-4 so far) project to finish 49.2–27.0 and make the playoffs in 85% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Team	Projected record	Division title	Playoffs
Montreal Canadiens	46.7–27.4	21%	77%
Boston Bruins	49.2–27.0	31%	85%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Montreal Canadiens and Boston Bruins come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Montreal CanadiensLWWLW

Nov 10vs Minnesota WildL 1–2
Nov 7at Toronto Maple LeafsW 4–2
Nov 5vs Utah MammothW 5–4
Nov 3vs Winnipeg JetsL 4–5
Oct 31vs Pittsburgh PenguinsW 5–4

Montreal Canadiens have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-W-L-W, most recent first).

Boston BruinsWWWWL

Nov 8vs Florida PanthersW 4–1
Nov 5at Pittsburgh PenguinsW 6–2
Nov 2vs Vegas Golden KnightsW 3–2
Oct 31vs Chicago BlackhawksW 5–4
Oct 29at St. Louis BluesL 1–4

Boston Bruins have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-L, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 53 times since 2011: Montreal Canadiens 21, Boston Bruins 32. The last meeting, on Mar 17, 2026, finished Boston Bruins 2, Montreal Canadiens 3.

Mar 17, 2026BOS 2 – 3 MON
Jan 24, 2026MON 3 – 4 BOS
Dec 23, 2025MON 6 – 2 BOS
Nov 15, 2025BOS 3 – 2 MON
Apr 3, 2025BOS 1 – 4 MON

Every Montreal Canadiens vs Boston Bruins meeting →

Betting trends

Montreal Canadiens are 244-197 as favourite and 282-420 as underdog, and 254-327 on the road (44% of 581 games, 2011–2026).

Boston Bruins are 529-329 as favourite and 145-170 as underdog, and 361-235 at home (61% of 596 games, 2011–2026).

Record	MON	BOS
As favourite	244-197	529-329
As underdog	282-420	145-170
At home	283-300	361-235
On the road	254-327	318-278

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →