St. Louis Blues
7-8-2
Utah Mammoth
10-7-1
Win Probability
Utah Mammoth hosts St. Louis Blues in a coin-flip matchup where the simulation barely favours the home side. Clayton Keller, who has a 70% chance of recording at least one point, leads a Utah attack that will test whether the Blues can keep the scoring manageable; St. Louis counters with Robert Thomas, projected at 63% to earn a point. The game likely hinges on shot volume, with Dylan Guenther of Utah averaging 3.1 shots and Dylan Holloway of St. Louis at 2.4. AccuScore's model has backed the under on games shaped like this one 46% of the time across 79 graded contests. For St. Louis to pull the upset, it would need to exceed its projected offensive output while containing Utah's scoring chances.
AccuScore's simulation of the first period, priced against the books' 1st-period lines.
Leads after the 1st
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | UTA | EV | STL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -143 | -3.3% | +114 | -1.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -134 | -2.0% | +116 | -1.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | 6.5 | -106 | -2.3% | -129 | -4.8% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Utah Mammoth 55% to beat St. Louis Blues (45%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Utah Mammoth the more likely winner at 55%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Utah Mammoth a 55% chance of beating St. Louis Blues, against 45% for St. Louis Blues. Utah Mammoth are at home and favoured on these numbers.
St. Louis Blues (7-8 so far) project to finish 41.2–33.6 and make the playoffs in 46% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Utah Mammoth (10-7 so far) project to finish 44.4–31.9 and make the playoffs in 64% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Blues | 41.2–33.6 | 3% | 46% |
| Utah Mammoth | 44.4–31.9 | 6% | 64% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How St. Louis Blues and Utah Mammoth come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
St. Louis Blues have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
Utah Mammoth have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-W-L-W, most recent first).
St. Louis Blues are 386-274 as favourite and 249-263 as underdog, and 305-294 on the road (51% of 599 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | STL | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 386-274 | — |
| As underdog | 249-263 | — |
| At home | 339-255 | — |
| On the road | 305-294 | — |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →