Nashville Predators
9-4-5
Vegas Golden Knights
12-5-2
Win Probability
When the Nashville Predators visit Vegas Golden Knights, the simulation favours the home side clearly. Filip Forsberg projects a 59% chance of at least one point for Nashville, while Jack Eichel and Mitch Marner both sit at 68% for Vegas, with Eichel averaging 3.1 shots on goal. The game hinges on whether Nashville's offence can match Vegas's secondary scoring depth. On games shaped this way, AccuScore's model has won 61% of 5,656 graded matchups. For the Predators to pull the upset, they would need Ryan O'Reilly and Forsberg both to reach the scoresheet and limit Vegas's perimeter chances.
AccuScore's simulation of the first period, priced against the books' 1st-period lines.
Leads after the 1st
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | VGK | EV | NSH | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -182 | -3.0% | +152 | -0.5% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -179 | -2.7% | +155 | +0.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | 6.5 | +106 | -4.9% | -147 | -2.8% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Vegas Golden Knights 61% to beat Nashville Predators (39%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Vegas Golden Knights the more likely winner at 61%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Vegas Golden Knights a 61% chance of beating Nashville Predators, against 39% for Nashville Predators. Vegas Golden Knights are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Nashville Predators (9-4 so far) project to finish 42.1–29.7 and make the playoffs in 60% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Vegas Golden Knights (12-5 so far) project to finish 48.9–26.4 and make the playoffs in 92% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville Predators | 42.1–29.7 | 5% | 60% |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 48.9–26.4 | 46% | 92% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Nashville Predators and Vegas Golden Knights come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Nashville Predators have won 5 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-W, most recent first).
Vegas Golden Knights have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 25 times since 2017: Nashville Predators 11, Vegas Golden Knights 14. The last meeting, on Oct 13, 2026, finished Vegas Golden Knights 5, Nashville Predators 2.
Nashville Predators are 370-260 as favourite and 227-294 as underdog, and 272-314 on the road (46% of 586 games, 2011–2026).
Vegas Golden Knights are 373-230 as favourite and 109-119 as underdog, and 267-159 at home (63% of 426 games, 2017–2026).
| Record | NSH | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 370-260 | 373-230 |
| As underdog | 227-294 | 109-119 |
| At home | 342-250 | 267-159 |
| On the road | 272-314 | 223-198 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →