NHL • Sun, Nov 15, 00:00
The Ottawa Senators travel to Pittsburgh to face the Penguins in a coin-flip matchup that the simulation leans barely toward the hosts. Tim Stutzle has a 63% chance of recording at least one point for Ottawa, while Sidney Crosby projects at 62% for Pittsburgh, suggesting both teams will generate chances through their top talent. The game turns on shot volume: Crosby (2.5 shots on goal) and Evgeni Malkin (2.2) will drive Pittsburgh's offence, while the Senators counter with Stutzle (2.3) and Drake Batherson (2.2).
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Pittsburgh Penguins 50% to beat Ottawa Senators (50%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Pittsburgh Penguins the more likely winner at 50%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Pittsburgh Penguins a 50% chance of beating Ottawa Senators, against 50% for Ottawa Senators. Pittsburgh Penguins are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Ottawa Senators (11-6 so far) project to finish 44.6–30.4 and make the playoffs in 63% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Pittsburgh Penguins (7-10 so far) project to finish 39.1–36.2 and make the playoffs in 24% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ottawa Senators | 44.6–30.4 | 10% | 63% |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 39.1–36.2 | 1% | 24% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Ottawa Senators and Pittsburgh Penguins come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Ottawa Senators have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-L, most recent first).
Pittsburgh Penguins have won 2 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 45 times since 2011: Ottawa Senators 21, Pittsburgh Penguins 24. The last meeting, on Mar 26, 2026, finished Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Ottawa Senators 3.
Ottawa Senators are 206-152 as favourite and 312-452 as underdog, and 229-337 on the road (40% of 566 games, 2011–2026).
Pittsburgh Penguins are 463-310 as favourite and 164-219 as underdog, and 365-229 at home (61% of 594 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | OTT | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 206-152 | 463-310 |
| As underdog | 312-452 | 164-219 |
| At home | 293-274 | 365-229 |
| On the road | 229-337 | 280-312 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →