Florida Panthers
10-7-2
St. Louis Blues
8-8-2
Win Probability
This is a coin-flip between the Florida Panthers and St. Louis Blues, with the simulation barely favouring Florida as the visitor. Matthew Tkachuk has a 68% chance of recording a point for the Panthers, while Brady Tkachuk projects 3.4 shots on goal; for the home side, Robert Thomas carries a 60% chance of a point. The game hinges on scoring volume—the model projects a tight, low-scoring affair that sits well below typical totals. AccuScore's lean toward the under in similarly shaped matchups has returned 45% over 84 graded games. St. Louis would need to generate more offensive pressure than the projection allows to push the scoreline higher.
AccuScore's simulation of the first period, priced against the books' 1st-period lines.
Leads after the 1st
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | STL | EV | FLA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -107 | -2.7% | -121 | -3.3% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -109 | -3.1% | -109 | -1.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | 5.5 | -129 | -3.0% | -106 | -4.3% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Florida Panthers 51% to beat St. Louis Blues (49%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Florida Panthers the more likely winner at 51%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives St. Louis Blues a 49% chance of beating Florida Panthers, against 51% for Florida Panthers. St. Louis Blues are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Florida Panthers (10-7 so far) project to finish 41.9–33.1 and make the playoffs in 43% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
St. Louis Blues (8-8 so far) project to finish 41.8–33.1 and make the playoffs in 48% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Panthers | 41.9–33.1 | 4% | 43% |
| St. Louis Blues | 41.8–33.1 | 3% | 48% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Florida Panthers and St. Louis Blues come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Florida Panthers have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-W, most recent first).
St. Louis Blues have won 2 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 22 times since 2011: Florida Panthers 9, St. Louis Blues 13. The last meeting, on Jan 29, 2026, finished Florida Panthers 4, St. Louis Blues 5.
Florida Panthers are 396-261 as favourite and 218-281 as underdog, and 289-309 on the road (48% of 598 games, 2011–2026).
St. Louis Blues are 386-274 as favourite and 249-263 as underdog, and 339-255 at home (57% of 594 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | FLA | STL |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 396-261 | 386-274 |
| As underdog | 218-281 | 249-263 |
| At home | 342-250 | 339-255 |
| On the road | 289-309 | 305-294 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →