New York Islanders
7-6-4
Anaheim Ducks
10-8-1
Win Probability
The New York Islanders visit the Anaheim Ducks in a coin-flip matchup where the simulation barely favours the hosts. Bo Horvat has a 61% chance of recording a point for the Islanders, while Leo Carlsson projects at 63% for Anaheim and Cutter Gauthier at 62% with 4.0 shots on goal. The game hinges on whether the offences can sustain production; AccuScore's model has graded similar games at a 50-50 split on totals over 60 occasions. For New York to pull the upset, it will need one of its secondary scoring threats—Brayden Schenn, projected at 53% to earn a point—to emerge alongside Horvat.
AccuScore's simulation of the first period, priced against the books' 1st-period lines.
Leads after the 1st
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | ANA | EV | NYI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -121 | -2.7% | +105 | -0.6% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -114 | -1.4% | -101 | -2.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | 6.5 | -129 | -2.8% | -102 | -3.7% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Anaheim Ducks 52% to beat New York Islanders (48%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Anaheim Ducks the more likely winner at 52%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Anaheim Ducks a 52% chance of beating New York Islanders, against 48% for New York Islanders. Anaheim Ducks are at home and favoured on these numbers.
New York Islanders (7-6 so far) project to finish 39.3–33.1 and make the playoffs in 35% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Anaheim Ducks (10-8 so far) project to finish 40.4–36.0 and make the playoffs in 42% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Islanders | 39.3–33.1 | 2% | 35% |
| Anaheim Ducks | 40.4–36.0 | 3% | 42% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How New York Islanders and Anaheim Ducks come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
New York Islanders have won 1 of their last 5 (W-L-L-L-L, most recent first).
Anaheim Ducks have won 4 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 24 times since 2012: New York Islanders 14, Anaheim Ducks 10. The last meeting, on Oct 20, 2026, finished Anaheim Ducks 2, New York Islanders 3.
New York Islanders are 309-228 as favourite and 259-341 as underdog, and 266-316 on the road (46% of 582 games, 2011–2026).
Anaheim Ducks are 245-170 as favourite and 274-439 as underdog, and 289-287 at home (50% of 576 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | NYI | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 309-228 | 245-170 |
| As underdog | 259-341 | 274-439 |
| At home | 315-267 | 289-287 |
| On the road | 266-316 | 237-333 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →