Calgary Flames
8-10-1
Los Angeles Kings
5-9-2
Win Probability
The Los Angeles Kings host the Calgary Flames in a matchup where the simulation leans clearly toward the home side. Artemi Panarin leads the Kings' attack with a 65% chance of registering at least one point, while Adrian Kempe projects similarly at 59%, giving Los Angeles multiple scoring threats. Matt Coronato and Matvei Gridin carry the Flames' offensive load at 53% and 51% respectively, but the gap in elite-level scoring opportunity favors the Kings. On games shaped like this one, AccuScore's lean has converted 54% of the time across nearly 11,000 comparable situations. For Calgary to pull the upset on the road, it would need to suppress Los Angeles' shot volume—Panarin and Kempe average over six shots combined per game in these projections.
AccuScore's simulation of the first period, priced against the books' 1st-period lines.
Leads after the 1st
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | LOS | EV | CAL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -175 | -4.5% | +152 | +3.0% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -171 | -4.1% | +148 | +2.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | 5.5 | -135 | -4.5% | -102 | -2.8% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Kings 58% to beat Calgary Flames (42%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Kings the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Los Angeles Kings a 58% chance of beating Calgary Flames, against 42% for Calgary Flames. Los Angeles Kings are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Calgary Flames (8-10 so far) project to finish 35.4–40.1 and make the playoffs in 14% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Los Angeles Kings (5-9 so far) project to finish 38.0–36.4 and make the playoffs in 32% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calgary Flames | 35.4–40.1 | 1% | 14% |
| Los Angeles Kings | 38.0–36.4 | 2% | 32% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Calgary Flames and Los Angeles Kings come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Calgary Flames have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-W-L, most recent first).
Los Angeles Kings have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 50 times since 2012: Calgary Flames 26, Los Angeles Kings 24. The last meeting, on Apr 16, 2026, finished Los Angeles Kings 1, Calgary Flames 3.
Calgary Flames are 303-230 as favourite and 235-340 as underdog, and 244-318 on the road (43% of 562 games, 2011–2026).
Los Angeles Kings are 342-270 as favourite and 212-292 as underdog, and 307-262 at home (54% of 569 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | CAL | LOS |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 303-230 | 342-270 |
| As underdog | 235-340 | 212-292 |
| At home | 304-263 | 307-262 |
| On the road | 244-318 | 258-315 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →