Edmonton Oilers
14-3-3
Philadelphia Flyers
5-10-6
Win Probability
The Edmonton Oilers travel to face the Philadelphia Flyers in a matchup where the simulation clearly favours the visitors. Connor McDavid has a 78% chance of recording at least one point, while Leon Draisaitl projects at 73%, giving Edmonton two scoring threats the home side will struggle to contain. For Philadelphia, Trevor Zegras (51%) and Travis Konecny (49%) sit well below that threshold, which is where the game's outcome turns—the Flyers need their forwards to match Edmonton's offensive output to stay competitive. AccuScore's model has backed the favoured side in games shaped like this one 54% of the time across its record. Philadelphia would need a rare night where Zegras and Konecny both produce while Edmonton's top guns misfire.
AccuScore's simulation of the first period, priced against the books' 1st-period lines.
Leads after the 1st
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | PHI | EV | EDM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +124 | -2.5% | -155 | -2.6% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +127 | -1.9% | -145 | -1.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | 6.5 | -110 | -6.4% | -141 | -3.6% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Edmonton Oilers 58% to beat Philadelphia Flyers (42%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Edmonton Oilers the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Philadelphia Flyers a 42% chance of beating Edmonton Oilers, against 58% for Edmonton Oilers. Philadelphia Flyers are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Edmonton Oilers (14-3 so far) project to finish 48.5–26.1 and make the playoffs in 94% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Philadelphia Flyers (5-10 so far) project to finish 34.3–36.4 and make the playoffs in 12% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Oilers | 48.5–26.1 | 42% | 94% |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 34.3–36.4 | <1% | 12% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Edmonton Oilers and Philadelphia Flyers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Edmonton Oilers have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-W-L-L, most recent first).
Philadelphia Flyers have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-L-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 23 times since 2012: Edmonton Oilers 13, Philadelphia Flyers 10. The last meeting, on Nov 11, 2026, finished Philadelphia Flyers 2, Edmonton Oilers 3.
Edmonton Oilers are 357-259 as favourite and 230-324 as underdog, and 281-318 on the road (47% of 599 games, 2011–2026).
Philadelphia Flyers are 238-182 as favourite and 276-424 as underdog, and 290-281 at home (51% of 571 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | EDM | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 357-259 | 238-182 |
| As underdog | 230-324 | 276-424 |
| At home | 315-278 | 290-281 |
| On the road | 281-318 | 232-335 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →