Calgary Flames
8-10-1
Anaheim Ducks
10-8-1
Win Probability
The Calgary Flames travel to face the Anaheim Ducks in a matchup the simulation favours slightly to the home side. Leo Carlsson of Anaheim projects as a threat with a 64% chance of earning a point, while Cutter Gauthier carries a 62% probability and is expected to generate 4.1 shots on goal. Calgary's Matt Coronato (58% to record a point) and Matvei Gridin (56%) will look to counter, but Anaheim's depth at forward puts the Ducks in position to pull away. AccuScore's record on games shaped this way shows the favoured side won 54% of the time. For the Flames to upset this lean, their skill-position players will need to beat their individual projections while keeping Anaheim's shot volume in check.
AccuScore's simulation of the first period, priced against the books' 1st-period lines.
Leads after the 1st
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | ANA | EV | CAL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -155 | -5.2% | +129 | +2.1% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -151 | -4.7% | +127 | +1.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | 6.5 | -129 | -4.9% | -110 | -3.0% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Anaheim Ducks 55% to beat Calgary Flames (46%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Anaheim Ducks the more likely winner at 55%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Anaheim Ducks a 55% chance of beating Calgary Flames, against 46% for Calgary Flames. Anaheim Ducks are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Calgary Flames (8-10 so far) project to finish 35.4–40.1 and make the playoffs in 15% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Anaheim Ducks (10-8 so far) project to finish 40.4–36.0 and make the playoffs in 44% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calgary Flames | 35.4–40.1 | 1% | 15% |
| Anaheim Ducks | 40.4–36.0 | 3% | 44% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Calgary Flames and Anaheim Ducks come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Calgary Flames have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-W-L, most recent first).
Anaheim Ducks have won 4 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 63 times since 2012: Calgary Flames 26, Anaheim Ducks 37. The last meeting, on Nov 6, 2026, finished Anaheim Ducks 5, Calgary Flames 3.
Calgary Flames are 303-230 as favourite and 235-340 as underdog, and 244-318 on the road (43% of 562 games, 2011–2026).
Anaheim Ducks are 245-170 as favourite and 274-439 as underdog, and 289-287 at home (50% of 576 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | CAL | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 303-230 | 245-170 |
| As underdog | 235-340 | 274-439 |
| At home | 304-263 | 289-287 |
| On the road | 244-318 | 237-333 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →