NHL • Mon, Nov 16, 01:00
The Dallas Stars host the Florida Panthers in a matchup the simulation leans slightly toward the home side. For the Panthers to pull the upset, they'll need to convert at higher efficiency than the model expects.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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Florida Panthers (11-7 so far) project to finish 42.4–32.7 and make the playoffs in 46% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Dallas Stars (10-6 so far) project to finish 46.5–28.5 and make the playoffs in 78% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Panthers | 42.4–32.7 | 4% | 46% |
| Dallas Stars | 46.5–28.5 | 13% | 78% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Dallas Stars 54% to beat Florida Panthers (46%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Dallas Stars the more likely winner at 54%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Dallas Stars a 54% chance of beating Florida Panthers, against 46% for Florida Panthers. Dallas Stars are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Florida Panthers and Dallas Stars come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Florida Panthers have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-W, most recent first).
Dallas Stars have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 30 times since 2011: Florida Panthers 18, Dallas Stars 12. The last meeting, on Dec 13, 2025, finished Florida Panthers 4, Dallas Stars 0.
Florida Panthers are 396-261 as favourite and 218-281 as underdog, and 289-309 on the road (48% of 598 games, 2011–2026).
Dallas Stars are 424-291 as favourite and 208-255 as underdog, and 347-258 at home (57% of 605 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | FLA | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 396-261 | 424-291 |
| As underdog | 218-281 | 208-255 |
| At home | 342-250 | 347-258 |
| On the road | 289-309 | 304-299 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →