NHL
Nashville Predators
10-4-5
San Jose Sharks
8-11-2
Win Probability
The Nashville Predators travel to face the San Jose Sharks in a matchup where AccuScore's simulation clearly favours the visitors. Filip Forsberg projects as a 67% chance to record at least one point, while Macklin Celebrini of the Sharks sits at 65% to do the same, suggesting both offences will generate chances. The game turns on shot volume: Celebrini is projected to attempt 3.9 shots on goal, outpacing Forsberg's 3.2, meaning San Jose's ability to generate offensive chances will determine whether it can overcome the model's lean toward Nashville. On games shaped this way—moderate favourites backed against totals near this range—the simulation has connected just 45% of the time historically. The Sharks would need to suppress Nashville's scoring while capitalizing on their own volume to pull the upset.
AccuScore's simulation of the first period, priced against the books' 1st-period lines.
Leads after the 1st
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | SAN | EV | NSH | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +146 | +2.2% | -175 | -4.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +143 | +1.5% | -164 | -3.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | 6.5 | -110 | -6.8% | -129 | -1.4% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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AccuScore's simulation makes Nashville Predators 58% to beat San Jose Sharks (42%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Nashville Predators the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives San Jose Sharks a 42% chance of beating Nashville Predators, against 58% for Nashville Predators. San Jose Sharks are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Nashville Predators (10-4 so far) project to finish 43.0–29.0 and make the playoffs in 66% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
San Jose Sharks (8-11 so far) project to finish 34.4–40.7 and make the playoffs in 11% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville Predators | 43.0–29.0 | 7% | 66% |
| San Jose Sharks | 34.4–40.7 | <1% | 11% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Nashville Predators and San Jose Sharks come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Nashville Predators have won 5 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-W, most recent first).
San Jose Sharks have won 1 of their last 5 (L-W-L-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 48 times since 2011: Nashville Predators 31, San Jose Sharks 17. The last meeting, on Oct 15, 2026, finished San Jose Sharks 3, Nashville Predators 2.
Nashville Predators are 370-260 as favourite and 228-294 as underdog, and 273-314 on the road (47% of 587 games, 2011–2026).
San Jose Sharks are 277-226 as favourite and 229-406 as underdog, and 276-301 at home (48% of 577 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | NSH | SAN |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 370-260 | 277-226 |
| As underdog | 228-294 | 229-406 |
| At home | 342-250 | 276-301 |
| On the road | 273-314 | 237-341 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →