Montreal Canadiens
12-4-4
New York Rangers
12-8-1
Win Probability
The New York Rangers host the Montreal Canadiens in a matchup the simulation sees as a coin-flip, with the Rangers holding the slimmest of advantages. Nick Suzuki projects at 64% to record at least one point for the visiting Canadiens, while Cole Caufield's 3.2 shots on goal average underscore Montreal's offensive intent. For New York, J.T. Miller and Mika Zibanejad both carry roughly 57-58% chances of contributing a point. The game hinges on whether either team can push past 3 goals; AccuScore has backed the under on games shaped like this one 45% of the time over 84 prior matchups. The Rangers escape with a win if Montreal's visitors cannot sustain their offensive pressure through sixty minutes.
AccuScore's simulation of the first period, priced against the books' 1st-period lines.
Leads after the 1st
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | NYR | EV | MON | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -112 | -1.8% | -107 | -2.5% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -105 | -0.3% | -109 | -2.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | 5.5 | -152 | -2.6% | +110 | -5.1% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Rangers 51% to beat Montreal Canadiens (49%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Rangers the more likely winner at 51%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives New York Rangers a 51% chance of beating Montreal Canadiens, against 49% for Montreal Canadiens. New York Rangers are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Montreal Canadiens (12-3 so far) project to finish 47.3–26.0 and make the playoffs in 83% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
New York Rangers (12-8 so far) project to finish 43.5–32.5 and make the playoffs in 53% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montreal Canadiens | 47.3–26.0 | 24% | 83% |
| New York Rangers | 43.5–32.5 | 4% | 53% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Montreal Canadiens and New York Rangers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Montreal Canadiens have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
New York Rangers have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 46 times since 2011: Montreal Canadiens 24, New York Rangers 22. The last meeting, on Apr 2, 2026, finished Montreal Canadiens 3, New York Rangers 2.
Montreal Canadiens are 244-198 as favourite and 283-420 as underdog, and 255-327 on the road (44% of 582 games, 2011–2026).
New York Rangers are 412-260 as favourite and 213-277 as underdog, and 335-263 at home (56% of 598 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | MON | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 244-198 | 412-260 |
| As underdog | 283-420 | 213-277 |
| At home | 283-301 | 335-263 |
| On the road | 255-327 | 304-291 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →