How often the favourite won, how often the home side won, and how often the total went over — across 3,888 played Ligue 1 games in AccuScore's archive. None of this is our model. The favourite is whichever side the bookmakers priced shorter, and the result is the result.
Seasons run August to May.
| Season | Games | Favourite won | Home won | Drawn | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 312 | 53.1% | 45.5% | 25.6% | 39.7% |
| 2023-24 | 308 | 50.5% | 39.3% | 26.6% | 44.0% |
| 2022-23 | 363 | 56.4% | 43.0% | 24.2% | 41.3% |
| 2021-22 | 378 | 49.7% | 42.6% | 27.0% | 42.9% |
| 2020-21 | 381 | 50.7% | 37.3% | 24.9% | 46.0% |
| 2019-20 | 262 | 53.1% | 48.5% | 24.8% | 44.3% |
| 2018-19 | 370 | 47.8% | 43.0% | 29.7% | 43.8% |
| 2017-18 | 380 | 54.3% | 45.5% | 25.3% | 44.7% |
Across 3,826 priced Ligue 1 games in AccuScore's archive, the favourite won 52.0% of the time. The favourite is whichever side the bookmakers made shorter, not whichever side we projected.
Home teams won 43.9% of 3,888 games in the archive, with 25.8% drawn.
Of 3,838 games with a posted total, 44.1% went over. A rate near half is what an efficient market looks like — the number is interesting when a season moves away from it.
| 2016-17 | 378 | 53.2% | 49.2% | 24.6% | 46.0% |
| 2015-16 | 377 | 49.3% | 42.4% | 27.9% | 46.3% |
| 2014-15 | 379 | 53.9% | 47.5% | 23.2% | 45.2% |