AccuScore simulates the rest of the NBA regular season every day and reports what happened across those runs: projected win-loss records, division title odds and playoff probabilities for all 30 teams. The table below is the current state of that forecast — it moves as results come in, so a team's playoff number today is not the one it had last week.
The most likely bracket across AccuScore's simulations of the rest of the season: each seed goes to the team that holds it most often, and the favourite advances from every game. The percentage beside a team is its chance to win that game if the matchup happens. Title odds further down add up every possible path, so the favourite to win it all is not always the team at the end of this bracket.
Projected NBA Finals winner: San Antonio Spurs
The percentage beside a seed is how often that team finishes in that exact seed. Seeds 7 to 10 play the Play-In for the last two playoff places.
Each team's chance to reach every round, and to win it all. Top 12 by title chance.
| Team | Playoffs | Conf. Semifinals | Conf. Finals | NBA Finals | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Celtics | 93% | 67% | 42% | 24% | 12.7% |
| Detroit Pistons | 93% | 65% | 39% | 22% | 11.5% |
| San Antonio Spurs | 87% | 56% | 32% | 18% | 10.5% |
| Houston Rockets |
Simulation run 11/05/2026 10:30:25.
| 57% |
| 33% |
| 18% |
| 10.4% |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 80% | 45% | 23% | 12% | 6.5% |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 81% | 45% | 23% | 12% | 6.5% |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 81% | 46% | 24% | 12% | 6.3% |
| Toronto Raptors | 80% | 43% | 21% | 10% | 4.6% |
| New York Knicks | 76% | 40% | 20% | 10% | 4.4% |
| Atlanta Hawks | 78% | 40% | 19% | 9% | 3.9% |
| Denver Nuggets | 66% | 31% | 15% | 7% | 3.5% |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 71% | 33% | 15% | 7% | 3.4% |
| Team | W-L | Proj W | Proj L | Div% | Playoff% | Conf% | NBA Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next: at CHA, Nov 6 → | 6-2 | 55.5 | 26.5 | 49% | 93% | 24.3% | 12.7% |
| Next: at MIL, Nov 6 → | 4-4 | 47.8 | 34.2 | 19% | 80% | 10.2% | 4.6% |
| Next: at CLE, Nov 6 → | 8-1 | 46.6 | 35.4 | 16% | 75% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Next: at CLE, Nov 7 → | 4-4 | 46.3 | 35.7 | 15% | 76% | 9.9% | 4.4% |
| Next: at ATL, Nov 7 → | 2-6 | 28.0 | 54.0 | 1% | 18% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Team | W-L | Proj W | Proj L | Div% | Playoff% | Conf% | NBA Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next: vs LAL, Nov 8 → | 6-2 | 55.3 | 26.7 | 72% | 93% | 22.2% | 11.5% |
| Next: vs PHI, Nov 6 → | 4-4 | 44.3 | 37.7 | 22% |
| Team | W-L | Proj W | Proj L | Div% | Playoff% | Conf% | NBA Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next: vs WAS, Nov 6 → | 5-4 | 47.0 | 35.0 | 46% | 78% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
| Next: at SAC, Nov 8 → | 3-5 | 40.4 | 41.6 | 22% |
| Team | W-L | Proj W | Proj L | Div% | Playoff% | Conf% | NBA Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next: at MEM, Nov 6 → | 6-2 | 51.7 | 30.3 | 29% | 81% | 11.6% | 6.5% |
| Next: at LAL, Nov 6 → | 6-1 | 51.3 | 30.7 |
Powered by AccuScore • Updated Friday, November 6
| 6.5% |
| 2.7% |
| Next: vs DEN, Nov 7 → | 3-6 | 31.6 | 50.4 | 3% | 27% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Next: vs PHI, Nov 8 → | 1-7 | 26.9 | 55.1 | 1% | 15% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Next: vs TOR, Nov 6 → | 1-7 | 23.7 | 58.3 | 1% | 9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 4.0% |
| 1.6% |
| Next: at GS, Nov 7 → | 2-5 | 39.8 | 42.2 | 20% | 55% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Next: vs BOS, Nov 6 → | 3-6 | 33.0 | 49.0 | 7% | 31% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Next: at ATL, Nov 6 → | 4-4 | 30.4 | 51.6 | 5% | 23% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 29% |
80% |
| 11.7% |
| 6.5% |
| Next: at NO, Nov 6 → | 6-3 | 51.2 | 30.8 | 27% | 81% | 11.7% | 6.3% |
| Next: at IND, Nov 7 → | 4-3 | 46.3 | 35.7 | 14% | 66% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Next: at DAL, Nov 6 → | 1-7 | 26.0 | 56.0 | 0% | 9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Team | W-L | Proj W | Proj L | Div% | Playoff% | Conf% | NBA Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next: vs POR, Nov 6 → | 7-2 | 47.9 | 34.1 | 45% | 71% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Next: vs ORL, Nov 7 → | 5-3 | 45.7 | 36.3 | 34% | 64% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Next: vs NO, Nov 8 → | 1-7 | 37.0 | 45.0 | 11% | 36% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Next: vs HOU, Nov 7 → | 1-5 | 34.6 | 47.4 | 9% | 28% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Next: vs SA, Nov 6 → | 1-7 | 21.2 | 60.8 | 1% | 3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Team | W-L | Proj W | Proj L | Div% | Playoff% | Conf% | NBA Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next: at PHO, Nov 7 → | 7-2 | 54.7 | 27.3 | 45% | 88% | 18.2% | 10.4% |
| Next: at SAC, Nov 6 → | 6-2 | 54.1 | 27.9 | 42% | 87% | 18.2% | 10.5% |
| Next: vs OKC, Nov 6 → | 6-2 | 39.0 | 43.0 | 6% | 41% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Next: vs MIN, Nov 6 → | 4-4 | 37.3 | 44.7 | 4% | 36% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Next: vs UT, Nov 6 → | 4-4 | 35.4 | 46.6 | 3% | 29% | 1.2% | 0.5% |