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College Basketball Season Predictions & Playoff Odds

AccuScore simulates the rest of the College Basketball season every day and reports what happened across those runs: projected records, conference title odds, NCAA Tournament probabilities and projected seeds for every Division I team. The table below is the current state of that forecast — it moves as results come in, so a team's playoff number today is not the one it had last week.

Projected NCAA Tournament bracket

The most likely bracket across AccuScore's simulations of the rest of the season: each seed goes to the team that holds it most often, and the favourite advances from every game. The percentage beside a team is its chance to win that game if the matchup happens. Title odds further down add up every possible path, so the favourite to win it all is not always the team at the end of this bracket. The field is 76 teams: 32 conference champions and 44 at-large teams. The 12 lowest-seeded automatic qualifiers and the 12 lowest-seeded at-large teams meet in the Opening Round for their places in the 64-team bracket.

East Region

Opening Round
For the 16 seed
16Queens University57%
16Bethune-Cookman43%
For the 13 seed
13Indiana51%
13Florida State49%
First Round
1Michigan87%
16Queens University13%
8Texas49.8%
9Saint Louis50.2%
5Wisconsin61%
12Northern Iowa39%
4Vanderbilt62%
13Indiana38%
6Iowa55%
11Clemson45%
3Alabama69%
14North Dakota State31%
7BYU54%
10VCU46%
2UConn72%
15Navy28%
Second Round
1Michigan73%
9Saint Louis27%
4Vanderbilt52%
5Wisconsin48%
3Alabama56%
6Iowa44%
2UConn59%
7BYU41%
Sweet 16
1Michigan66%
4Vanderbilt34%
2UConn53%
3Alabama47%
Elite Eight
1Michigan62%
2UConn38%

West Region

Opening Round
For the 16 seed
16Tennessee State54%
16Long Island University46%
For the 12 seed
12SMU51%
12West Virginia49%
First Round
1Arizona83%
16Tennessee State17%

South Region

Opening Round
For the 16 seed
16Furman50.1%
16Northern Colorado49.9%
For the 12 seed
12Baylor51%
12NC State49%
For the 14 seed
14Washington51%
14Northwestern49%
For the 15 seed
15Robert Morris

Midwest Region

Opening Round
For the 16 seed
16Howard49%
16Arkansas State51%
For the 12 seed
12Texas A&M51%
12Villanova49%
For the 13 seed
13Missouri51%
13Ole Miss49%
For the 15 seed
15
Final Four · East v West
1Michigan53%
1Arizona47%
Championship
1Michigan52%
1Duke48%
Final Four · South v Midwest
1Duke53%
1Florida47%

Projected National Championship winner: Michigan

East projected seeds
  1. 1Michiganauto bid31%
  2. 2UConnauto bid9%
  3. 3Alabama6%
  4. 4Vanderbilt5%
  5. 5Wisconsin5%
  6. 6Iowa3%
  7. 7BYU3%
  8. 8Texas3%
  9. 9Saint Louisauto bid3%
  10. 10VCU3%
  11. 11

The percentage beside a seed is how often that team finishes in that exact seed. “Auto bid” marks a conference champion’s automatic place. Two teams on one seed line meet in the Opening Round.

National Championship odds

Each team's chance to reach every round, and to win it all. Top 16 by title chance.

TeamMake fieldFirst RoundSecond RoundSweet 16Elite EightFinal FourChampionshipWin
Michigan89%86%67%46%31%20%12%7.3%
Arizona86%83%63%42%28%17%10%6.2%
Duke84%81%

Simulation run 10/26/2026 20:12:31.

Proj W/L — Projected final recordConf% — Conference regular-season title probabilityTourney% — Make the NCAA Tournament probabilityConf T% — Conference tournament title probabilityNational Championship — Win National Championship probability
America East
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stUMBC
18.310.737%
36%
28.7%0.1%
Vermont
15.814.223%
23%
18.7%0.0%
UAlbany
15.016.013%
13%
10.9%0.0%
UMass Lowell
13.815.214%
13%
11.6%0.0%
Maine
13.018.09%
8%
7.1%—
NJIT
12.019.08%
8%
6.7%0.0%
New Hampshire
11.819.26%
7%
5.9%—
Binghamton
11.017.06%
6%
5.2%—
Bryant
10.919.16%
6%
5.2%—
American
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stSouth Florida
21.510.528%
46%
20.7%0.7%
Tulsa
19.910.121%
38%
16.5%0.4%
Wichita State
18.711.318%
34%
14.5%0.3%
UAB
16.314.79%
17%
7.6%0.1%
North Texas
15.914.19%
17%
7.0%0.1%
Florida Atlantic
14.714.38%
16%
6.8%0.1%
Temple
14.513.58%
14%
6.3%0.0%
Charlotte
14.416.65%
10%
4.5%0.0%
Tulane
14.216.84%
7%
3.2%0.0%
Memphis
14.017.06%
13%
5.4%0.1%
Rice
13.516.54%
8%
3.9%—
East Carolina
12.414.63%
6%
2.8%0.0%
UTSA
10.219.81%
2%
1.0%0.0%
Atlantic 10
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stSaint Louis
20.19.924%
46%
17.6%0.7%
Dayton
19.412.614%
33%
11.5%0.3%
VCU
19.29.819%
43%
15.9%0.6%
George Washington
17.713.310%
23%
7.8%0.2%
Davidson
17.414.69%
19%
6.3%0.1%
George Mason
17.413.68%
20%
6.7%0.1%
St. Bonaventure
16.614.47%
18%
5.9%0.1%
Saint Joseph's
16.412.69%
22%
7.2%0.1%
Duquesne
16.213.86%
15%
5.1%0.1%
Fordham
15.614.46%
14%
4.7%0.1%
Rhode Island
15.314.76%
13%
4.1%0.0%
Richmond
14.716.34%
12%
3.5%0.0%
La Salle
11.018.02%
6%
2.1%0.0%
Loyola Chicago
11.018.02%
5%
1.5%0.0%
Atlantic Coast
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stDuke
24.27.837%
84%
28.8%5.8%
Virginia
20.310.713%
56%
10.2%1.2%
SMU
18.713.36%
34%
4.6%0.4%
North Carolina
18.713.38%
43%
6.4%0.7%
Miami
18.611.48%
42%
6.2%0.5%
Clemson
18.111.98%
40%
6.1%0.6%
Louisville
18.110.912%
54%
9.2%1.1%
NC State
18.112.96%
35%
4.6%0.5%
Virginia Tech
17.814.25%
27%
3.4%0.2%
Florida State
17.614.45%
33%
4.5%0.3%
Stanford
16.814.24%
26%
3.1%0.2%
Wake Forest
16.614.44%
24%
2.7%0.2%
California
16.114.93%
22%
2.6%0.2%
Pittsburgh
15.816.22%
17%
2.1%0.1%
Syracuse
15.716.32%
17%
1.9%0.1%
Boston College
14.317.71%
10%
1.1%0.0%
Notre Dame
13.715.32%
14%
1.6%0.1%
Georgia Tech
13.418.61%
9%
0.9%0.0%
Atlantic Sun
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stQueens University
16.315.722%
26%
21.5%0.1%
West Florida
15.413.624%
—
——
Lipscomb
14.615.419%
22%
18.3%0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast
14.114.915%
18%
15.3%0.0%
Bellarmine
13.115.913%
16%
13.6%0.0%
Jacksonville
11.615.413%
16%
14.1%0.0%
Stetson
10.317.79%
12%
10.3%0.0%
North Florida
10.118.96%
8%
6.9%0.0%
Big 12
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stArizona
22.77.330%
86%
22.6%6.2%
Iowa State
22.27.822%
75%
15.9%3.4%
Houston
21.98.122%
79%
17.2%4.0%
Cincinnati
19.013.06%
41%
4.6%0.5%
BYU
18.311.78%
49%
6.1%0.9%
Texas Tech
18.011.09%
53%
6.8%1.0%
TCU
17.912.15%
38%
4.2%0.5%
Kansas
17.812.27%
51%
6.2%1.0%
West Virginia
16.413.64%
34%
3.3%0.3%
UCF
16.115.92%
26%
2.5%0.2%
Baylor
16.013.04%
36%
3.6%0.4%
Arizona State
15.616.42%
21%
1.9%0.2%
Colorado
15.016.02%
21%
1.6%0.1%
Oklahoma State
14.617.41%
18%
1.5%0.2%
Utah
13.918.11%
11%
0.8%0.0%
Kansas State
13.316.71%
14%
1.1%0.1%
Big East
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stUConn
21.810.231%
70%
24.7%2.6%
St. John's
21.68.433%
71%
24.5%2.4%
Seton Hall
17.113.98%
33%
7.6%0.3%
Villanova
17.013.011%
38%
9.2%0.5%
Marquette
16.515.56%
26%
6.2%0.3%
Georgetown
16.314.76%
25%
5.6%0.2%
Providence
15.614.46%
25%
5.7%0.2%
Butler
15.416.64%
19%
4.1%0.1%
DePaul
15.116.94%
18%
3.9%0.1%
Xavier
14.917.14%
18%
3.7%0.1%
Creighton
14.415.65%
22%
4.8%0.1%
Big Sky
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stIdaho
15.312.716%
21%
12.6%0.1%
Montana State
15.213.816%
21%
12.5%0.0%
Northern Colorado
14.512.517%
22%
13.1%0.1%
Eastern Washington
14.514.513%
17%
10.7%0.1%
Portland State
14.113.914%
18%
11.1%0.1%
Weber State
14.115.910%
14%
8.7%0.0%
Utah Tech
13.615.411%
15%
9.1%0.0%
Montana
13.515.59%
13%
7.9%0.1%
Southern Utah
12.316.78%
11%
6.9%0.0%
Idaho State
11.617.45%
7%
4.8%0.0%
Northern Arizona
8.819.23%
4%
2.7%—
Big South
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stHigh Point
21.98.146%
53%
34.1%0.7%
Winthrop
16.012.020%
27%
16.7%0.2%
Longwood
15.014.010%
14%
9.0%0.0%
Charleston Southern
13.915.19%
13%
8.5%0.0%
UNC Asheville
13.515.59%
13%
8.1%0.0%
Radford
13.215.89%
13%
8.5%0.0%
Presbyterian
12.715.39%
13%
8.3%0.0%
South Carolina Upstate
12.017.05%
7%
5.2%0.0%
Gardner-Webb
7.520.51%
2%
1.6%—
Big Ten
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stMichigan
23.36.732%
89%
23.1%7.3%
Illinois
22.19.913%
77%
13.9%3.6%
Purdue
21.310.714%
68%
11.1%2.7%
Nebraska
20.811.28%
56%
6.9%1.4%
Michigan State
20.411.69%
64%
9.3%2.1%
Wisconsin
19.711.38%
57%
6.8%1.5%
Iowa
19.212.86%
49%
5.6%1.0%
Ohio State
19.013.06%
50%
5.6%1.0%
UCLA
18.412.66%
44%
4.6%0.7%
Indiana
17.714.34%
33%
2.7%0.4%
Northwestern
16.515.52%
28%
2.2%0.2%
Minnesota
15.516.52%
22%
1.6%0.2%
Washington
15.213.82%
29%
2.1%0.3%
USC
14.117.91%
16%
1.0%0.1%
Oregon
13.716.31%
16%
1.0%0.1%
Maryland
13.616.41%
17%
1.1%0.1%
Rutgers
13.516.51%
14%
0.8%0.1%
Penn State
12.518.50%
8%
0.4%0.0%
Big West
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stCalifornia Baptist
19.712.321%
29%
15.5%0.2%
UC Irvine
18.112.917%
26%
13.8%0.1%
Utah Valley
16.810.223%
33%
17.5%0.2%
UC Santa Barbara
16.213.811%
17%
9.2%0.1%
UC San Diego
15.213.810%
16%
8.7%0.0%
Cal State Northridge
14.515.58%
13%
7.2%0.0%
Cal State Fullerton
14.515.59%
14%
7.9%0.0%
Long Beach State
13.818.26%
9%
5.1%0.0%
Cal Poly
12.817.25%
9%
5.4%0.0%
UC Riverside
12.317.74%
7%
4.1%0.0%
Sacramento State
12.017.04%
6%
4.0%0.0%
Cal State Bakersfield
9.520.51%
2%
1.6%—
Colonial Athletic
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stHofstra
19.011.020%
38%
18.8%0.4%
UNC Wilmington
17.512.513%
24%
11.4%0.1%
Campbell
16.315.710%
19%
8.9%0.1%
Towson
16.113.911%
22%
10.3%0.1%
Monmouth
15.916.110%
19%
9.3%0.1%
William & Mary
15.314.79%
16%
7.7%0.1%
Drexel
14.815.26%
13%
6.1%0.0%
Charleston
14.713.310%
18%
8.4%0.1%
Stony Brook
13.615.44%
10%
5.0%0.0%
Elon
12.517.54%
7%
3.6%0.0%
Northeastern
12.419.64%
7%
3.6%0.0%
Hampton
12.116.94%
7%
3.5%0.0%
North Carolina A&T
12.115.93%
6%
3.3%0.0%
Conference USA
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stLiberty
16.212.816%
24%
12.9%0.1%
Sam Houston
15.313.718%
26%
13.9%0.2%
Kennesaw State
15.012.018%
25%
14.2%0.1%
Western Kentucky
14.714.312%
18%
10.1%0.1%
Jacksonville State
14.615.411%
16%
8.9%0.1%
Florida International
14.414.610%
15%
8.5%0.1%
Middle Tennessee
13.613.413%
19%
10.5%0.1%
New Mexico State
13.114.910%
16%
8.8%0.1%
Missouri State
13.014.010%
15%
8.2%0.0%
Delaware
11.117.94%
7%
4.0%0.0%
Horizon League
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stRobert Morris
17.713.319%
26%
15.3%0.1%
Wright State
17.612.420%
25%
14.9%0.1%
Northern Kentucky
16.613.414%
19%
11.2%0.1%
Green Bay
15.015.011%
16%
9.6%0.1%
Youngstown State
14.015.010%
13%
7.8%0.0%
Oakland
14.018.012%
18%
10.2%0.1%
Purdue Fort Wayne
13.215.87%
11%
6.7%0.0%
Detroit Mercy
13.113.911%
15%
9.5%0.0%
Milwaukee
12.918.17%
10%
5.9%0.0%
IU Indianapolis
12.317.74%
6%
3.8%0.0%
Cleveland State
10.217.83%
5%
3.3%0.0%
Northern Illinois
9.221.82%
2%
1.8%—
Ivy League
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stYale
15.810.230%
39%
23.6%0.3%
Cornell
14.812.219%
25%
15.3%0.1%
Harvard
14.211.820%
27%
16.2%0.2%
Columbia
14.112.913%
18%
10.9%0.1%
Pennsylvania
13.512.517%
23%
13.3%0.1%
Brown
13.014.08%
11%
7.3%0.1%
Princeton
11.415.69%
12%
7.3%0.0%
Dartmouth
11.014.07%
10%
6.1%0.0%
Metro Atlantic Athletic
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stMerrimack
18.212.821%
26%
16.5%0.2%
Siena
18.014.017%
23%
14.4%0.1%
Marist
15.813.213%
17%
10.5%0.1%
Fairfield
15.614.410%
13%
8.1%0.1%
Quinnipiac
15.514.512%
15%
9.5%0.0%
Iona
15.516.58%
11%
6.7%0.0%
Saint Peter's
15.313.711%
14%
8.7%0.0%
Mount St. Mary's
15.214.810%
12%
7.8%0.0%
Sacred Heart
14.816.27%
10%
6.6%0.0%
Manhattan
12.418.63%
5%
3.5%—
Niagara
11.918.14%
4%
2.9%0.0%
Canisius
11.819.23%
4%
2.9%—
Rider
9.620.42%
2%
1.7%—
Mid-American
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stAkron
18.29.826%
37%
19.9%0.3%
Miami (OH)
18.011.022%
32%
16.7%0.2%
Toledo
16.414.615%
22%
11.6%0.2%
Bowling Green
16.212.811%
18%
9.3%0.1%
Massachusetts
15.514.57%
12%
6.7%0.1%
Kent State
14.513.510%
16%
8.7%0.0%
Buffalo
13.115.96%
10%
5.2%0.0%
Ohio
12.816.25%
9%
5.1%0.0%
Ball State
12.215.85%
8%
4.8%0.0%
Central Michigan
11.817.25%
8%
4.2%0.0%
Eastern Michigan
11.616.44%
7%
4.2%0.0%
Western Michigan
11.416.64%
6%
3.7%0.0%
Mid-Eastern Athletic
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stHoward
17.910.148%
40%
36.6%0.1%
Norfolk State
12.416.617%
15%
14.5%0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore
10.718.310%
10%
9.2%—
Morgan State
10.716.311%
10%
9.7%0.0%
South Carolina State
10.217.89%
8%
8.2%—
North Carolina Central
10.115.913%
11%
10.5%—
Delaware State
8.917.16%
5%
5.3%—
Coppin State
8.720.37%
6%
6.0%—
Missouri Valley
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stBelmont
17.912.119%
34%
14.8%0.3%
Northern Iowa
17.412.620%
37%
16.1%0.4%
UIC
17.013.013%
26%
11.1%0.2%
Murray State
16.314.79%
18%
8.0%0.1%
Illinois State
16.213.814%
28%
11.4%0.2%
Southern Illinois
16.112.912%
23%
10.2%0.1%
Bradley
15.713.311%
22%
8.8%0.1%
Drake
15.215.88%
17%
6.5%0.1%
Valparaiso
14.214.87%
16%
6.4%0.0%
Indiana State
12.715.36%
12%
5.0%0.0%
Evansville
9.819.22%
4%
1.7%0.0%
Mountain West
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stNew Mexico
20.510.530%
44%
22.9%0.5%
Nevada
18.412.619%
30%
15.1%0.2%
Grand Canyon
18.211.819%
31%
15.2%0.2%
Wyoming
16.814.212%
21%
10.6%0.1%
UNLV
16.313.713%
22%
10.7%0.1%
Hawai'i
15.712.312%
19%
9.9%0.1%
UC Davis
15.114.97%
13%
7.0%0.0%
San José State
13.017.04%
7%
3.7%0.0%
UTEP
11.715.34%
8%
4.3%—
Air Force
8.023.00%
1%
0.7%—
Northeast
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stLong Island University
15.515.524%
31%
27.8%0.1%
Mercyhurst
14.114.917%
—
——
New Haven
13.214.813%
—
——
Le Moyne
13.115.912%
—
——
Stonehill
12.115.911%
16%
14.5%—
Wagner
12.015.015%
21%
18.6%0.0%
Central Connecticut
12.015.013%
18%
16.5%—
Fairleigh Dickinson
11.617.410%
14%
12.7%—
Chicago State
11.021.07%
11%
9.8%—
Ohio Valley
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stSIU Edwardsville
14.112.916%
17%
13.4%0.0%
Tennessee State
14.010.027%
26%
20.4%0.1%
Southeast Missouri State
13.813.217%
18%
14.2%0.1%
Morehead State
13.714.315%
15%
12.1%0.0%
Lindenwood
13.313.715%
15%
12.4%0.0%
UT Martin
13.212.816%
17%
13.7%0.0%
Eastern Illinois
11.416.68%
8%
6.7%0.0%
Southern Indiana
10.516.56%
6%
5.4%—
Western Illinois
6.820.21%
2%
1.6%—
Pac-12
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stUtah State
20.310.726%
50%
20.7%0.8%
Gonzaga
19.28.839%
67%
30.3%1.5%
Boise State
16.313.712%
27%
10.2%0.2%
San Diego State
15.711.316%
36%
13.4%0.3%
Colorado State
14.614.49%
22%
8.0%0.1%
Oregon State
14.316.75%
11%
4.0%0.0%
Fresno State
14.215.85%
13%
4.9%0.0%
Texas State
13.617.44%
11%
4.0%0.0%
Washington State
12.418.65%
12%
4.4%0.0%
Patriot League
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stNavy
19.410.632%
33%
25.0%0.1%
Boston University
15.814.216%
17%
13.3%0.1%
American University
15.415.615%
16%
12.4%0.0%
Colgate
13.816.213%
14%
10.9%0.0%
Lehigh
13.515.510%
12%
9.2%0.0%
Loyola Maryland
12.915.110%
11%
8.8%0.0%
Lafayette
12.517.56%
7%
5.5%—
Holy Cross
12.217.87%
7%
5.5%—
Army
11.818.25%
5%
4.3%0.0%
Bucknell
11.419.65%
6%
5.0%0.0%
SEC
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stFlorida
22.67.430%
82%
21.1%5.0%
Vanderbilt
21.610.412%
61%
9.3%1.6%
Arkansas
20.511.512%
61%
9.1%1.3%
Oklahoma
19.512.56%
44%
5.4%0.6%
Tennessee
19.410.612%
61%
9.8%1.5%
Kentucky
19.312.77%
48%
5.9%0.9%
Texas A&M
18.813.25%
37%
4.3%0.6%
Alabama
18.811.214%
64%
10.3%1.8%
Texas
18.612.47%
43%
5.4%0.6%
Georgia
18.014.04%
38%
4.2%0.5%
Auburn
17.312.76%
43%
5.0%0.7%
Missouri
16.615.43%
31%
3.0%0.3%
Ole Miss
16.113.93%
30%
2.9%0.2%
LSU
15.216.83%
23%
2.0%0.2%
South Carolina
14.517.51%
15%
1.2%0.1%
Mississippi State
13.617.41%
15%
1.3%0.1%
Southern
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stEast Tennessee State
17.013.017%
22%
13.7%0.1%
Furman
16.712.318%
23%
14.5%0.1%
Mercer
15.814.217%
21%
13.4%0.1%
Samford
15.712.318%
23%
14.2%0.1%
Western Carolina
14.112.915%
19%
12.4%0.0%
Chattanooga
14.114.98%
11%
7.1%0.0%
Wofford
13.615.49%
12%
8.2%0.0%
UNC Greensboro
13.115.98%
10%
7.0%0.0%
Tennessee Tech
11.617.45%
6%
4.3%0.0%
The Citadel
10.418.63%
4%
3.1%—
VMI
9.218.82%
2%
1.9%—
Southland
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stMcNeese
19.89.232%
46%
24.7%0.7%
UT Rio Grande Valley
17.712.319%
31%
14.6%0.3%
Stephen F. Austin
16.811.217%
29%
14.6%0.2%
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
15.314.711%
20%
9.5%0.1%
LSU New Orleans
14.315.78%
15%
7.2%0.0%
Nicholls
13.616.46%
11%
5.6%0.0%
Lamar
13.616.45%
10%
5.0%0.0%
Incarnate Word
13.218.85%
10%
4.7%0.0%
Houston Christian
13.017.04%
7%
3.6%0.0%
Northwestern State
12.417.64%
8%
4.0%0.0%
SE Louisiana
12.020.04%
7%
3.5%0.0%
East Texas A&M
11.819.23%
6%
3.1%0.0%
Southwestern Athletic
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stBethune-Cookman
13.817.216%
15%
12.8%0.0%
Florida A&M
13.516.512%
11%
9.9%0.0%
Alabama A&M
12.915.110%
11%
9.6%0.0%
Grambling
12.716.310%
10%
8.8%0.0%
Prairie View A&M
12.715.315%
13%
11.0%0.0%
Texas Southern
12.616.48%
10%
8.6%—
Southern
12.616.414%
14%
12.1%0.0%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
12.017.09%
10%
9.0%—
Alabama State
11.617.48%
8%
7.1%—
Jackson State
10.722.35%
5%
5.0%—
Alcorn State
10.621.45%
5%
4.8%—
Mississippi Valley State
7.026.01%
1%
1.4%—
Summit League
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stSt. Thomas
17.811.232%
34%
25.4%0.1%
North Dakota State
17.511.533%
35%
25.7%0.1%
South Dakota State
13.913.116%
17%
13.2%0.0%
North Dakota
12.315.712%
13%
10.2%0.0%
South Dakota
12.016.08%
9%
7.4%—
Omaha
11.214.811%
12%
9.0%0.0%
Oral Roberts
10.016.08%
9%
7.3%0.0%
Kansas City
7.720.32%
2%
1.8%—
Sun Belt
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stArkansas State
17.012.016%
22%
11.9%0.1%
Louisiana Tech
16.812.214%
21%
11.3%0.1%
James Madison
15.713.311%
16%
8.6%0.0%
South Alabama
15.713.311%
16%
8.7%0.1%
Troy
15.712.314%
20%
11.0%0.1%
App State
15.313.713%
18%
9.6%0.1%
Southern Miss
15.114.99%
14%
7.7%0.0%
Georgia Southern
14.715.38%
12%
6.9%0.0%
Marshall
14.313.79%
13%
7.0%0.0%
Old Dominion
13.915.17%
10%
5.5%0.0%
Coastal Carolina
13.016.06%
9%
4.8%0.0%
Georgia State
12.017.04%
5%
3.1%—
Louisiana
10.717.33%
5%
2.9%0.0%
UL Monroe
7.821.21%
2%
1.0%—
United Athletic
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stCentral Arkansas
16.012.026%
29%
21.9%0.1%
UT Arlington
15.713.320%
23%
17.9%0.0%
Austin Peay
15.512.523%
25%
19.2%0.1%
Tarleton State
13.514.512%
13%
10.6%0.0%
Abilene Christian
13.314.711%
12%
9.9%0.0%
Little Rock
12.417.68%
9%
7.3%0.0%
West Georgia
12.316.79%
—
——
Eastern Kentucky
12.215.88%
10%
8.5%0.0%
North Alabama
9.718.34%
5%
4.6%—
West Coast
TeamProj WProj LConf%Tourney%Conf T%National Championship
1stSanta Clara
20.610.430%
48%
24.1%0.6%
Saint Mary's
20.49.633%
53%
27.7%0.8%
Seattle U
16.212.813%
23%
10.8%0.1%
San Francisco
16.015.08%
16%
7.9%0.1%
Pacific
15.614.411%
20%
9.1%0.1%
Loyola Marymount
14.616.46%
11%
5.8%0.0%
Denver
12.717.35%
8%
4.4%0.0%
San Diego
12.716.34%
7%
3.8%0.0%
Pepperdine
11.618.42%
5%
2.9%—
Portland
11.517.54%
6%
3.4%0.0%

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8North Carolina49%
9High Point51%
5Nebraska61%
12SMU39%
4Arkansas61%
13Hofstra39%
6Ohio State56%
11New Mexico44%
3St. John's69%
14Utah Valley31%
7Kentucky52%
10McNeese48%
2Illinois77%
15UMBC23%
Second Round
1Arizona71%
9High Point29%
4Arkansas50.5%
5Nebraska49.5%
3St. John's59%
6Ohio State41%
2Illinois64%
7Kentucky36%
Sweet 16
1Arizona65%
4Arkansas35%
2Illinois55%
3St. John's45%
Elite Eight
1Arizona55%
2Illinois45%
49%
15Kennesaw State51%
First Round
1Duke83%
16Furman17%
8Oklahoma50.0%
9South Florida50.0%
5Virginia60%
12Baylor40%
4Tennessee63%
13Yale37%
6Kansas56%
11Georgia44%
3Michigan State67%
14Washington33%
7Utah State53%
10Cincinnati47%
2Iowa State76%
15Kennesaw State24%
Second Round
1Duke72%
8Oklahoma28%
4Tennessee52%
5Virginia48%
3Michigan State57%
6Kansas43%
2Iowa State64%
7Utah State36%
Sweet 16
1Duke64%
4Tennessee36%
2Iowa State56%
3Michigan State44%
Elite Eight
1Duke57%
2Iowa State43%
Merrimack
52%
15Central Arkansas48%
First Round
1Florida80%
16Arkansas State20%
8UCLA51%
9Auburn49%
5Louisville57%
12Texas A&M43%
4Gonzaga64%
13Missouri36%
6Texas Tech57%
11TCU43%
3Purdue68%
14Akron32%
7Saint Mary's54%
10Miami46%
2Houston78%
15Merrimack22%
Second Round
1Florida68%
8UCLA32%
4Gonzaga54%
5Louisville46%
3Purdue59%
6Texas Tech41%
2Houston65%
7
Sweet 16
1Florida61%
4Gonzaga39%
2Houston55%
3Purdue45%
Elite Eight
1Florida52%
2Houston48%
Clemson
2%
  • 12Northern Iowaauto bid3%
  • 13Indiana3%
  • 13Florida State3%
  • 14North Dakota Stateauto bid3%
  • 15Navyauto bid6%
  • 16Queens Universityauto bid9%
  • 16Bethune-Cookmanauto bid6%
    • West projected seeds
    1. 1Arizonaauto bid25%
    2. 2Illinois11%
    3. 3St. John's7%
    4. 4Arkansas5%
    5. 5Nebraska4%
    6. 6Ohio State3%
    7. 7Kentucky3%
    8. 8North Carolina3%
    9. 9High Pointauto bid3%
    10. 10McNeeseauto bid3%
    11. 11New Mexicoauto bid3%
    12. 12SMU3%
    13. 12West Virginia3%
    14. 13Hofstraauto bid3%
    15. 14Utah Valleyauto bid3%
    16. 15UMBCauto bid7%
    17. 16Tennessee Stateauto bid6%
    18. 16Long Island Universityauto bid14%
    South projected seeds
    1. 1Dukeauto bid25%
    2. 2Iowa State11%
    3. 3Michigan State6%
    4. 4Tennessee5%
    5. 5Virginia4%
    6. 6Kansas4%
    7. 7Utah State3%
    8. 8Oklahoma3%
    9. 9South Floridaauto bid3%
    10. 10Cincinnati2%
    11. 11Georgia2%
    12. 12Baylor3%
    13. 12NC State3%
    14. 13Yaleauto bid4%
    15. 14Washington2%
    16. 14Northwestern2%
    17. 15Robert Morrisauto bid4%
    18. 15Kennesaw Stateauto bid3%
    19. 16Furmanauto bid3%
    20. 16Northern Coloradoauto bid3%
    Midwest projected seeds
    1. 1Floridaauto bid21%
    2. 2Houston11%
    3. 3Purdue7%
    4. 4Gonzagaauto bid6%
    5. 5Louisville4%
    6. 6Texas Tech4%
    7. 7Saint Mary'sauto bid3%
    8. 8UCLA3%
    9. 9Auburn3%
    10. 10Miami3%
    11. 11TCU3%
    12. 12Texas A&M3%
    13. 12Villanova3%
    14. 13Missouri3%
    15. 13Ole Miss3%
    16. 14Akronauto bid3%
    17. 15Merrimackauto bid4%
    18. 15Central Arkansasauto bid5%
    19. 16Howardauto bid16%
    20. 16Arkansas Stateauto bid2%
    61%
    42%
    28%
    17%
    10%
    5.8%
    Florida82%79%58%38%24%15%9%5.0%
    Houston79%75%54%35%22%13%7%4.0%
    Illinois77%74%53%33%20%12%7%3.6%
    Iowa State75%72%50%31%19%11%6%3.4%
    Purdue68%65%45%27%16%9%5%2.7%
    UConn70%67%45%27%16%9%5%2.6%
    St. John's71%67%45%27%15%9%5%2.4%
    Michigan State64%60%40%24%14%8%4%2.1%
    Alabama64%60%39%23%13%7%3%1.8%
    Vanderbilt61%57%37%21%11%6%3%1.6%
    Gonzaga67%62%38%22%12%6%3%1.5%
    Tennessee61%57%36%21%11%6%3%1.5%
    Wisconsin57%53%34%19%10%5%3%1.5%
    Saint Mary's
    35%