How often the favourite won, how often the home side won, and how often the total went over — across 10,209 played NCAAF games in AccuScore's archive. None of this is our model. The favourite is whichever side the bookmakers priced shorter, and the result is the result.
Seasons run August to February and are labelled by the year they start.
| Season | Games | Favourite won | Home won | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 143 | 79.5% | 74.1% | 52.4% |
| 2025 | 751 | 68.8% | 58.1% | 47.4% |
| 2024 | 760 | 70.9% | 57.9% | 49.8% |
| 2022 | 729 | — | 57.9% | 46.5% |
| 2021 | 746 | — | 58.4% | 46.6% |
| 2020 | 348 | — | 56.3% | 50.9% |
| 2019 | 751 | — | 59.3% | 48.0% |
| 2018 | 758 | — | 59.4% | 48.1% |
| 2017 | 763 | — | 56.9% | 46.2% |
| 2016 | 760 | — | 57.9% |
Across 1,101 priced NCAAF games in AccuScore's archive, the favourite won 70.6% of the time. The favourite is whichever side the bookmakers made shorter, not whichever side we projected.
Home teams won 58.1% of 10,209 games in the archive.
Of 9,643 games with a posted total, 48.1% went over. A rate near half is what an efficient market looks like — the number is interesting when a season moves away from it.
| 47.5% |
| 2015 | 763 | — | 56.4% | 48.9% |
| 2014 | 759 | — | 55.9% | 48.0% |
| 2013 | 731 | — | 58.1% | 49.0% |
| 2012 | 732 | — | 57.1% | 48.8% |
| 2011 | 715 | — | 60.3% | 49.1% |