Champions League betting trends
How often the favourite won, how often the home side won, and how often the total went over — across 859 played Champions League games in AccuScore's archive. None of this is our model. The favourite is whichever side the bookmakers priced shorter, and the result is the result.
Seasons run August to May. The favourite is the side with the shorter moneyline.
- Favourites won
- 60.0%
- 855 priced games
- Home teams won
- 47.3%
- 859 games
- Drawn
- 18.5%
- Went over
- 49.8%
- 667 with a total
Season by season
| Season | Games | Favourite won | Home won | Drawn | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 189 | 58.7% | 49.7% | 18.0% | 52.9% |
| 2024-25 | 189 | 60.1% | 50.3% | 14.8% | 55.6% |
| 2023-24 | 124 | 56.1% | 46.8% | 22.6% | 48.3% |
| 2022-23 | 96 | 61.5% | 47.9% | 19.8% | 52.2% |
| 2021-22 | 125 | 58.9% | 45.6% | 20.0% | 36.7% |
| 2020-21 | 136 | 65.2% | 41.2% | 18.4% | 36.9% |
What these numbers mean
How often do Champions League favourites win?
Across 855 priced Champions League games in AccuScore's archive, the favourite won 60.0% of the time. The favourite is whichever side the bookmakers made shorter, not whichever side we projected.
Do Champions League home teams have an advantage?
Home teams won 47.3% of 859 games in the archive, with 18.5% drawn.
How often do Champions League games go over the total?
Of 667 games with a posted total, 49.8% went over. A rate near half is what an efficient market looks like — the number is interesting when a season moves away from it.