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← Today's Edges
World Cup•FINAL
USA

USA

4

:
PAR

Paraguay

1

Win Probability

Moneyline

USA

46.4% win prob

Draw

Draw

31% prob

Moneyline

PAR

22.7% win prob

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Total (Over/Under)O/U 2.5
0.53.56.5
Over Cover
34.0%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
66.0%
no odds at this line

Goal Scorer Probabilities

Paraguay

Julio Enciso
22%
Miguel Almiron
16%
Diego Gomez
16%
Omar Alderete
7%
Andres Cubas
4%
Antonio Sanabria
4%

USA

Christian Pulisic
29%
Folarin Balogun
25%
Weston McKennie
23%
Timothy Weah
10%
Tyler Adams
7%
Miles Robinson
5%

Odds Comparison

Match Events

No events recorded

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World Cup

USA vs Paraguay Prediction

Final · USA 4–1 PAR · Fri, Jun 12, 2026, 9:00 PM ET

AccuScore's simulation makes USA 46% to win, Paraguay 23%, with a 31% chance of a draw. Final score: USA 4, Paraguay 1.

Projection updated Jun 20, 12:55 PM ET

Who will win USA vs Paraguay?

AccuScore's simulation makes USA the more likely winner at 46%, with a 31% chance of a draw. The game finished USA 4, Paraguay 1.

Will Paraguay beat USA?

AccuScore's simulation gives Paraguay a 23% chance of beating USA, with 46% for USA and 31% for a draw. It finished Paraguay 1, USA 4.

USA predictions & record →Paraguay predictions & record →