World Cup
Across their last 3 decided games, the model had the winner in 2.
| Date | Opponent | Result | We projected | Winner called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| at France | L 0–1 | 0.6 – 2.7 | ✓ | |
| vs Germany | D 1–1 | 0.5 – 2.5 | — | |
| at Australia | D 0–0 | 1.4 – 0.5 | — | |
| vs Turkey | W 1–0 | 0.9 – 1.0 | ✗ | |
| vs USA | L 1–4 | 0.8 – 1.3 | ✓ |