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World Cup

France vs Senegal Prediction

Final · FRA 3–1 SEN · Tue, Jun 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET

← Today's Edges
World Cup•FINAL
FRA

France

3

:
SEN

Senegal

1

Win Probability

Moneyline

FRA

69.2% win prob

Draw

Draw

21% prob

Moneyline

SEN

10.2% win prob

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Total (Over/Under)O/U 2.5
0.53.56.5
Over Cover
51.6%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
48.4%
no odds at this line

Goal Scorer Probabilities

Senegal

Nicolas Jackson
18%
Sadio Mane
11%
Iliman Ndiaye
10%
Pape Gueye
8%
Habib Diarra
6%
Idrissa Gueye
5%

France

Kylian Mbappe
56%
Ousmane Dembele
37%
Desire Doue
26%
Adrien Rabiot
19%
Michael Olise
9%
Jules Kounde
7%

Odds Comparison

Match Events

No events recorded

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AccuScore's simulation makes France 69% to win, Senegal 10%, with a 21% chance of a draw. Final score: France 3, Senegal 1.

Projection updated Jun 20, 12:55 PM ET

Who will win France vs Senegal?

AccuScore's simulation makes France the more likely winner at 69%, with a 21% chance of a draw. The game finished France 3, Senegal 1.

Will Senegal beat France?

AccuScore's simulation gives Senegal a 10% chance of beating France, with 69% for France and 21% for a draw. It finished Senegal 1, France 3.

France predictions & record →Senegal predictions & record →