World Cup
Across their last 8 decided games, the model had the winner in 6.
| Date | Opponent | Result | We projected | Winner called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| at England | L 4–6 | 1.9 – 1.4 | ✗ | |
| at Spain | L 0–2 | 1.3 – 1.1 | ✗ | |
| at Morocco | W 2–0 | 2.3 – 0.8 | ✓ | |
| vs Paraguay | W 1–0 | 2.7 – 0.6 | ✓ | |
| at Sweden | W 3–0 | 3.0 – 0.7 | ✓ | |
| vs Norway | W 4–1 | 1.9 – 1.4 | ✓ | |
| at Iraq | W 3–0 | 4.0 – 0.1 | ✓ | |
| at Senegal | W 3–1 | 2.0 – 0.7 | ✓ |