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World Cup

Jordan vs Argentina Prediction

Final · JOR 1–3 ARG · Sat, Jun 27, 2026, 10:00 PM ET

← Today's Edges
World Cup•FINAL
JOR

Jordan

1

:
ARG

Argentina

3

Win Probability

Moneyline

JOR

+2000

5.4% win prob

EV +6.7%

bet365

Draw

Draw

+809

19% prob

EV +35.4%

Pinnacle

Moneyline

ARG

-667

75.8% win prob

EV -6.4%

Pinnacle

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Total (Over/Under)O/U 3.5
0.53.56.5
Over Cover
21.3%
EV -25.5%
+130bet365 ↗
Under Cover
78.7%
EV +13.8%
-161bet365 ↗

Goal Scorer Probabilities

Argentina

Julian Alvarez
38%
Lionel Messi
35%
Enzo Fernandez
31%
Nico Gonzalez
20%
Rodrigo de Paul
12%
Alexis Mac Allister
11%

Jordan

Mousa Tamari
8%
Ali Olwan
8%
Mahmoud Al Mardi
6%
Abdallah Nasib
3%
Abo Al Arab Yazan
3%
Ehsan Haddad
2%

Odds Comparison

Away / Draw / Home

BookJOREVDrawEVARGEV
Pinnacle ↗+1911+4.3%+809+35.4%-667-6.4%
Betfair ↗+1800+1.3%+750+29.9%-909-7.9%
bet365 ↗+2000+6.7%+800+34.6%-909-7.9%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
Pinnacle ↗3.5+135-25.0%+135+42.5%
Betano ↗2.75-149—+125—
bet365 ↗3.5+130-25.5%-161+13.8%
ARG 4-4-2Lineup3-4-2-1 JOR
LailaNasibAl-ArabAbudahabHaddadAl-RashdanAl-Rawabd…TahaAzaizehOlwanFakhouryMartínezPalaciosOtamendiSenesiTagliaficoSimeonePazParedesCelsoMartínezAlvarez
ARGJOR

Match Events

90
🟨
Mohammad Abu Zrayq
JOR
80
⚽
Lionel Messi
ARG
64
🟨
Yazan Al-Arab
JOR
55
⚽
Mousa Tamari(ass. Ehsan Haddad)
JOR
31
⚽
Lautaro Martínez
ARG
19
⚽
Giovani Lo Celso
ARG
17
🟨
Mohannad Abu Taha
JOR

Match Statistics

ARGPossessionJOR
74%
26%
12
Shots
5
4
On Target
1
6
Corners
2
7
Fouls
13
3
Offsides
1
0
Saves
1
2.13
xG
0.76
801 (737)
Passes
285 (228)
4-4-2
Formation
3-4-2-1

Player Stats

ARG

#PlayerMinGAPssSvRat
23Emiliano MartínezG90——15(15)—6.7
14Exequiel PalaciosD90——87(83)—6.9
19Nicolás OtamendiD90——96(92)—6.9
2Marcos SenesiD90——72(68)—6.9
3Nicolás TagliaficoD90——54(48)—6.6
5Leandro ParedesM90——164(153)—7.2
17Giuliano SimeoneM71——38(34)—6.2
18Nico PazM61——53(50)—6.6
11Giovani Lo CelsoM601—46(43)—7.9
9Julián AlvarezF82——33(25)—5.9
22Lautaro MartínezF601—23(18)—6.5
Substitutes
12Gerónimo RulliG sub——————
1Juan MussoG sub——————
25Facundo MedinaD sub——————
6Lisandro MartínezD sub——————
26Nahuel MolinaD sub——————
4Gonzalo MontielD sub——————
13Cristian RomeroD sub——————
16Thiago AlmadaM sub30——34(33)—6.3
20Alexis Mac AllisterM sub29——45(42)—7
8Valentín BarcoM sub19——20(16)—6.9
24Enzo FernándezM sub——————
7Rodrigo De PaulM sub——————
10Lionel MessiF sub301—21(17)—8
21José Manuel LópezF sub8————6.5
15Nicolás GonzálezF sub——————

Where to Bet

DraftKingsBet →FanDuelBet →BetMGMBet →KalshiBet →PolymarketBet →

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AccuScore's simulation makes Argentina 76% to win, Jordan 5%, with a 19% chance of a draw. Final score: Jordan 1, Argentina 3.

Projection updated Aug 17, 4:34 PM ET

Who will win Jordan vs Argentina?

AccuScore's simulation makes Argentina the more likely winner at 76%, with a 19% chance of a draw. The game finished Jordan 1, Argentina 3.

Will Argentina beat Jordan?

AccuScore's simulation gives Argentina a 76% chance of beating Jordan, with 5% for Jordan and 19% for a draw. It finished Argentina 3, Jordan 1.

Jordan predictions & record →Argentina predictions & record →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Jordan and Argentina come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

JordanLL
  • Jun 22at AlgeriaL 1–2
  • Jun 17vs AustriaL 1–3

Jordan have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).

ArgentinaWW
  • Jun 22at AustriaW 2–0
  • Jun 16at AlgeriaW 3–0

Argentina have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).