World Cup
Across their last 8 decided games, the model had the winner in 7.
| Date | Opponent | Result | We projected | Winner called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Spain | L 0–1 | 0.9 – 1.2 | ✓ | |
| vs England | W 2–1 | 1.0 – 1.0 | ✗ | |
| at Switzerland | W 3–1 | 1.3 – 0.3 | ✓ | |
| at Egypt | W 3–2 | 2.6 – 0.6 | ✓ | |
| at Cape Verde | W 3–2 | 2.6 – 0.4 | ✓ | |
| vs Jordan | W 3–1 | 2.0 – 0.4 | ✓ | |
| at Austria | W 2–0 | 1.4 – 0.6 | ✓ | |
| at Algeria | W 3–0 | 2.3 – 0.7 | ✓ |