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← Today's Edges
World Cup•FINALSilver Edge
ARG

Argentina

3

:
EGY

Egypt

2

Win Probability

Moneyline

ARG

-303

79.8% win prob

EV +3.1%

bet365

Draw

Draw

+375

15% prob

EV -15.1%

bet365

Moneyline

EGY

+1000

5.5% win prob

EV -19.8%

bet365

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Total (Over/Under)O/U 2.5
0.53.56.5
Over Cover
62.4%
EV +9.6%
-110bet365 ↗
Under Cover
37.6%
EV -14.1%
-110bet365 ↗

Goal Scorer Probabilities

Egypt

Mohamed Salah
21%
Omar Marmoush
11%
Trezeguet
11%
Marwan Attia
6%
Emam Ashour
4%
Hamdi Fathy
2%

Argentina

Lionel Messi
55%
Julian Alvarez
42%
Enzo Fernandez
36%
Nico Gonzalez
22%
Alexis Mac Allister
16%
Rodrigo de Paul
13%

Odds Comparison

Away / Draw / Home

BookARGEVDrawEVEGYEV
bet365 ↗-303+3.1%+375-15.1%+1000-19.8%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
bet365 ↗2.5-110+9.6%-110-14.1%
EGY 4-4-2Lineup4-1-3-2 ARG
MartínezMolinaRomeroMartínezTagliaficoParedesPaulAllisterFernándezMessiAlvarezShobeirHanyIbrahimRabiaHafezHassanLasheenAttiaAshourSalahZiko
EGYARG

Match Events

90
🟨
Mostafa Shobeir
EGY
90
🟨
Hamdy Fathy
EGY
90
🟨
Marwan Attia
EGY
90
⚽
Enzo Fernández(ass. Lautaro Martínez)
ARG
83
⚽
Lionel Messi(ass. Gonzalo Montiel)
ARG
79
⚽
Cristian Romero(ass. Lionel Messi)
ARG
67
⚽
Mostafa Ziko(ass. Haissem Hassan)
EGY
15
⚽
Yasser Ibrahim(ass. Marwan Attia)
EGY
pen miss 21
⚽
Lionel Messi
ARG
-5
🟨
Haissem Hassan
EGY

Match Statistics

EGYPossessionARG
37%
63%
5
Shots
19
2
On Target
7
1
Corners
6
11
Fouls
13
0
Offsides
3
4
Saves
0
0.89
xG
2.84
349 (287)
Passes
602 (541)
4-4-2
Formation
4-1-3-2

Player Stats

EGY

#PlayerMinGAPssSvRat
23Mostafa ShobeirG90——27(21)47.5
3Mohamed HanyD90——31(26)—5.6
2Yasser IbrahimD901—35(27)—7.2
5Rami RabiaD90——34(29)—6.9
15Karim HafezD90——40(35)—6.3
19Marwan AttiaM90—149(40)—6.7
17Mohanad LasheenM89——34(29)—6.7
12Haissem HassanM73—113(11)—6.6
8Emam AshourM45——23(18)—6.5
10Mohamed SalahF90——22(19)—6.9
11Mostafa ZikoF801—12(9)—7.7
Substitutes
1Mohamed El-ShenawyG sub——————
26Mohamed AlaaG sub——————
16Mahdi SolimanG sub——————
24Tarek AlaaD sub——————
4Hossam AbdelmaguidD sub——————
14Hamdy FathyM sub45——19(16)—6.3
21Mahmoud SaberM sub——————
18Nabil DongaM sub——————
7Mahmoud TrézéguetF sub17——3(3)—6.5
22Omar MarmoushF sub10——5(3)—6.3
25ZizoF sub1——2(1)——
20Ibrahim AdelF sub——————
9Hamza AbdelkarimF sub——————

Where to Bet

silver
ARG ML+3.1% EV

Win probability: 79.8%

bet365
-303Bet →

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World Cup

Argentina vs Egypt Prediction

Final · ARG 3–2 EGY · Tue, Jul 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET

AccuScore's simulation makes Argentina 80% to win, Egypt 6%, with a 15% chance of a draw. Final score: Argentina 3, Egypt 2.

Projection updated Aug 17, 4:34 PM ET

Who will win Argentina vs Egypt?

AccuScore's simulation makes Argentina the more likely winner at 80%, with a 15% chance of a draw. The game finished Argentina 3, Egypt 2.

Will Egypt beat Argentina?

AccuScore's simulation gives Egypt a 6% chance of beating Argentina, with 80% for Argentina and 15% for a draw. It finished Egypt 2, Argentina 3.

Argentina predictions & record →Egypt predictions & record →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Argentina and Egypt come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

ArgentinaWWWW
  • Jul 3at Cape VerdeW 3–2
  • Jun 27vs JordanW 3–1
  • Jun 22at AustriaW 2–0
  • Jun 16at AlgeriaW 3–0

Argentina have won 4 of their last 4 (W-W-W-W, most recent first).

EgyptDDWD
  • Jul 3vs AustraliaD 1–1
  • Jun 26at IranD 1–1
  • Jun 21vs New ZealandW 3–1
  • Jun 15vs BelgiumD 1–1

Egypt have won 1 of their last 4 (D-D-W-D, most recent first).