North Carolina vs Duke Prediction

No meeting scheduled · 15 played since 2011

Past meetings · UNC 8–7 DUKE

DateFinalAccuScoreFavourite

Oct 17, 2026UNC 24 – 20 DUKEDUKE 64%✗ lost

Nov 22, 2025DUKE 32 – 25 UNCDUKE 57%✓ won

Sep 28, 2024UNC 20 – 21 DUKEDUKE 54%✓ won

Oct 15, 2022UNC 38 – 35 DUKEUNC 73%✓ won

Oct 2, 2021DUKE 7 – 38 UNCUNC 84%✓ won

Show 10 more

DateFinalAccuScoreFavourite

Nov 7, 2020UNC 56 – 24 DUKEUNC 78%✓ won

Oct 26, 2019DUKE 17 – 20 UNCUNC 64%✓ won

Nov 10, 2018UNC 35 – 42 DUKEDUKE 76%✓ won

Sep 23, 2017DUKE 27 – 17 UNCUNC 53%✗ lost

Nov 10, 2016UNC 27 – 28 DUKEUNC 63%✗ lost

Nov 7, 2015DUKE 31 – 66 UNCUNC 57%✓ won

Nov 20, 2014UNC 45 – 20 DUKEDUKE 67%✗ lost

Nov 30, 2013DUKE 27 – 25 UNCUNC 64%

AccuScore's most likely outcome came in 9 of the 15 meetings it priced.

Meetings from 2011 on include AccuScore's game archive.

On Oct 17, 2026 it finished North Carolina 24, Duke 20.

Since 2011: North Carolina 8 wins, Duke 7 over 15 meetings on record.

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North Carolina (4-4 so far) project to finish 6.2–5.8 and make the College Football Playoff in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Duke (6-2 so far) project to finish 7.5–4.5 and make the College Football Playoff in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Team	Projected record	Division title	Playoffs
North Carolina	6.2–5.8	0%	<1%
Duke	7.5–4.5	<1%	2%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAF team's projection →