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College Football Season Predictions & Playoff Odds

AccuScore simulates the rest of the College Football regular season every day and reports what happened across those runs: projected win-loss records, division title odds and College Football Playoff probabilities for every FBS team. The table below is the current state of that forecast — it moves as results come in, so a team's playoff number today is not the one it had last week.

Proj W/L — Projected final recordDiv% — Division title probabilityPlayoff% — Make playoffs probability

🏈 ACC

TeamW-LProj WProj LDiv%Playoff%
1stMiami Hurricanes
5-011.01.088%
93%
Pittsburgh Panthers
5-08.93.15%
15%
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
4-18.43.61%
11%
Duke Blue Devils
4-08.43.63%
10%
SMU Mustangs
4-18.33.71%
9%
Virginia Tech Hokies
4-17.84.21%
4%
North Carolina State Wolfpack
3-27.14.90%
2%
Clemson Tigers
3-26.95.10%
2%
Virginia Cavaliers
3-26.85.20%
2%
Louisville Cardinals
2-36.65.40%
2%
Florida State Seminoles
3-26.25.80%
1%
North Carolina Tar Heels
2-24.87.20%
0%
California Golden Bears
2-34.67.40%
0%
Syracuse Orange
2-24.37.7—
0%
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
1-34.17.90%
0%
Stanford Cardinal
2-33.68.4—
—
Boston College Eagles
2-33.28.8—
—

🏈 American Athletic

TeamW-LProj WProj LDiv%Playoff%
1stMemphis Tigers
4-19.03.032%
8%
Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners
4-18.73.324%
6%
South Florida Bulls
4-18.1

🏈 Big 12

TeamW-LProj WProj LDiv%Playoff%
1stUtah Utes
4-010.31.741%
63%
Texas Tech Red Raiders
5-010.21.828%
54%
Brigham Young Cougars
4-08.9

🏈 Big Ten

TeamW-LProj WProj LDiv%Playoff%
1stIndiana Hoosiers
5-010.51.542%
80%
Ohio State Buckeyes
4-19.62.434%
74%
Oregon Ducks
3-19.0

🏈 Conference USA

TeamW-LProj WProj LDiv%Playoff%
1stLiberty Flames
4-19.22.852%
1%
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
3-27.05.012%
0%
Florida Intl Golden Panthers
2-26.1

🏈 Mid-American

TeamW-LProj WProj LDiv%Playoff%
1stToledo Rockets
4-19.62.451%
8%
Western Michigan Broncos
3-28.13.924%
1%
Massachusetts Minutemen
4-18.0

🏈 Mountain West

TeamW-LProj WProj LDiv%Playoff%
1stNorth Dakota State Bison
5-010.11.937%
10%
New Mexico Lobos
4-19.62.445%
12%
UNLV Rebels
3-27.4

🏈 Pac-12

TeamW-LProj WProj LDiv%Playoff%
1stBoise State Broncos
4-18.62.457%
15%
Fresno State Bulldogs
4-17.23.816%
2%
Oregon State Beavers
3-26.5

🏈 SEC

TeamW-LProj WProj LDiv%Playoff%
1stGeorgia Bulldogs
5-010.31.736%
83%
Alabama Crimson Tide
5-010.21.829%
75%
Texas Longhorns
4-09.9

🏈 Sun Belt

EAST
TeamW-LProj WProj LDiv%Playoff%
1stJames Madison
5-010.51.572%
34%
Appalachian State Mountaineers
3-17.64.412%
2%
Marshall Thundering Herd
3-27.1

🏈 FBS Independents

TeamW-LProj WProj LDiv%Playoff%
1stNotre Dame Fighting Irish
5-011.10.9—
96%
Connecticut Huskies
2-35.36.7—
—

Powered by AccuScore • Updated Wednesday, October 7

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3.9
6%
1%
North Texas Eagles
3-27.94.116%
1%
Florida Atlantic Owls
4-17.24.84%
0%
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
3-26.85.21%
0%
Army Black Knights
2-26.65.44%
0%
East Carolina Pirates
2-26.45.64%
0%
Tulane Green Wave
2-26.45.67%
0%
Temple Owls
2-36.06.01%
0%
UAB Blazers
3-25.56.51%
0%
Navy Midshipmen
1-34.77.31%
0%
Rice Owls
1-42.59.50%
—
Charlotte 49ers
0-50.611.4—
—
3.1
14%
28%
Houston Cougars
4-18.13.93%
11%
Oklahoma State Cowboys
3-17.74.36%
11%
Arizona Wildcats
4-17.64.42%
6%
Baylor Bears
4-17.54.54%
7%
Kansas State Wildcats
3-17.44.61%
7%
Cincinnati Bearcats
4-16.35.70%
1%
UCF Golden Knights
3-26.15.90%
1%
Iowa State Cyclones
3-26.15.90%
1%
Arizona State Sun Devils
2-25.96.10%
1%
Kansas Jayhawks
2-25.26.80%
1%
West Virginia Mountaineers
3-25.26.80%
0%
TCU Horned Frogs
2-35.07.00%
0%
Colorado Buffaloes
2-33.78.3—
0%
3.0
12%
47%
UCLA Bruins
4-08.83.24%
21%
Iowa Hawkeyes
4-18.23.81%
16%
Wisconsin Badgers
4-18.23.82%
9%
Nebraska Cornhuskers
5-08.13.93%
12%
USC Trojans
5-17.84.21%
10%
Northwestern Wildcats
3-17.74.30%
8%
Penn State Nittany Lions
3-27.64.40%
5%
Minnesota
4-16.45.60%
1%
Michigan Wolverines
3-26.25.80%
1%
Washington Huskies
3-25.96.10%
1%
Illinois Fighting Illini
2-35.46.6—
1%
Michigan State Spartans
2-34.27.8—
0%
Purdue Boilermakers
2-33.98.1—
—
Maryland Terrapins
2-33.98.1—
—
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
1-42.79.3—
—
5.9
8%
0%
Delaware Blue Hens
2-35.56.52%
—
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
2-35.16.92%
—
New Mexico State Aggies
2-35.16.97%
—
Sam Houston Bearkats
1-34.77.35%
—
Kennesaw State Owls
1-34.67.46%
—
Missouri State Bears
1-34.57.55%
—
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
1-44.37.72%
—
4.0
4%
0%
Ohio Bobcats
3-27.44.69%
0%
Central Michigan Chippewas
3-26.85.24%
0%
Miami (OH) Red Hawks
2-36.55.52%
0%
Eastern Michigan Eagles
3-35.76.35%
0%
Kent State Golden Flashes
2-35.07.00%
—
Buffalo Bulls
2-34.47.60%
—
Bowling Green Falcons
1-44.08.01%
—
Ball State Cardinals
1-43.09.0—
—
Akron Zips
1-42.99.10%
—
Sacramento State Hornets
1-42.39.7—
—
4.6
11%
0%
Air Force Falcons
3-17.34.73%
0%
San Jose State Spartans
3-26.26.82%
—
Wyoming Cowboys
2-34.57.50%
—
Nevada Wolfpack
1-34.37.71%
—
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
1-43.98.1—
—
Northern Illinois Huskies
0-42.99.10%
—
UTEP Miners
1-42.79.3—
—
4.5
16%
1%
Texas State Bobcats
2-35.15.93%
0%
San Diego State Aztecs
2-34.36.74%
—
Colorado State Rams
2-34.26.81%
0%
Utah State Aggies
1-43.77.31%
—
Washington State Cougars
1-43.47.61%
—
2.1
23%
71%
LSU Tigers
4-18.53.55%
38%
Florida Gators
4-18.13.93%
25%
Ole Miss
3-18.04.03%
24%
Tennessee Volunteers
4-17.94.11%
18%
Missouri Tigers
4-17.54.51%
13%
Mississippi State Bulldogs
4-17.44.60%
7%
Kentucky Wildcats
4-16.75.30%
4%
Texas A&M Aggies
3-26.35.70%
3%
Auburn Tigers
3-26.15.90%
1%
Oklahoma Sooners
2-25.86.20%
4%
Vanderbilt Commodores
3-25.66.40%
1%
South Carolina Gamecocks
2-35.16.9—
1%
Arkansas Razorbacks
2-33.48.6—
—
4.9
2%
0%
Georgia State Panthers
4-16.95.14%
0%
Old Dominion Monarchs
1-45.96.11%
0%
Georgia Southern Eagles
2-35.26.87%
0%
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
1-43.98.11%
—
WEST
TeamW-LProj WProj LDiv%Playoff%
1stLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns
4-18.43.643%
1%
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
2-26.75.324%
0%
South Alabama Jaguars
3-26.06.012%
0%
Troy Trojans
2-26.06.011%
0%
Arkansas State Indians
2-35.96.17%
0%
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
1-33.78.33%
—
UL Monroe Warhawks
0-50.811.20%
—

Projected playoff bracket

The most likely bracket across AccuScore's simulations of the rest of the season: each seed goes to the team that holds it most often, and the favourite advances from every game. The percentage beside a team is its chance to win that game if the matchup happens. Title odds further down add up every possible path, so the favourite to win it all is not always the team at the end of this bracket.

First Round
8Utah Utes56%
9Texas Tech Red Raiders44%
5Texas Longhorns90%
12James Madison10%
7Ohio State Buckeyes65%
10Oregon Ducks35%
6Alabama Crimson Tide53%
11LSU Tigers47%
Quarterfinals
1Notre Dame Fighting Irish73%
8Utah Utes27%
4Indiana Hoosiers43%
5Texas Longhorns57%
2Miami Hurricanes46%
7Ohio State Buckeyes54%
3Georgia Bulldogs56%
Semifinals
1Notre Dame Fighting Irish49.5%
5Texas Longhorns50.5%
3Georgia Bulldogs47%
7Ohio State Buckeyes53%
Championship
5Texas Longhorns44%
7Ohio State Buckeyes56%

Projected National Championship winner: Ohio State Buckeyes

Projected seeds
  1. 1Notre Dame Fighting Irish24%
  2. 2Miami Hurricanesauto bid16%
  3. 3Georgia Bulldogsauto bid10%
  4. 4Indiana Hoosiers9%
  5. 5Texas Longhorns8%
  6. 6Alabama Crimson Tide8%
  7. 7Ohio State Buckeyesauto bid7%
  8. 8Utah Utesauto bid5%
  9. 9Texas Tech Red Raiders

The percentage beside a seed is how often that team finishes in that exact seed. “Auto bid” marks a conference champion’s automatic place.

National Championship odds

Each team's chance to reach every round, and to win it all. Top 12 by title chance.

TeamMake CFPQuarterfinalsSemifinalsChampionshipWin
Georgia Bulldogs83%73%47%28%16.4%
Ohio State Buckeyes74%63%40%24%14.2%
Notre Dame Fighting Irish96%87%51%27%13.2%
Miami Hurricanes

Simulation run 10/06/2026 10:48:20.

6Alabama Crimson Tide44%
5%
  • 10Oregon Ducks5%
  • 11LSU Tigers3%
  • 12James Madisonauto bid15%
  • 93%
    82%
    48%
    25%
    12.6%
    Texas Longhorns71%59%34%19%9.7%
    Alabama Crimson Tide75%61%34%17%8.7%
    Indiana Hoosiers80%65%35%17%8.4%
    Oregon Ducks47%33%17%8%4.0%
    LSU Tigers38%27%13%6%2.9%
    Utah Utes63%44%17%6%2.3%
    Ole Miss24%16%7%3%1.5%
    Florida Gators25%16%7%3%1.3%